Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 48%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 81% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 32%
Timeline
⚽E. Shomurodov
21'
⚽D. Camara
26'
⚽A. Fayzullaev
29'
O. Ergün
31'
A. Kızıldağ
35'
D. Camara
41'
O. Bulut
45'
🔁B. A. Özdemir ◂ O. Ergün
46'
🔁F. Ebosele ◂ O. Bulut
46'
🔁C. Lungoyi ◂ S. Güler
46'
K. Kozłowski
50'
⚽A. Kızıldağ
53'
🔁O. Özçiçek ◂ M. Kabasakal
57'
🔁D. Sorescu ◂ L. Pérez
57'
⚽U. Güneş
68'
🔁E. Boateng ◂ A. Maxim
69'
🔁T. T. Sanuç ◂ A. Kızıldağ
69'
🔁I. Brnić ◂ A. Harit
71'
🔁B. Yıldırım ◂ D. Selke
71'
K. Rodrigues
74'
K. Rodrigues
76'
🔁J. Kałuziński ◂ U. Güneş
78'
⚽I. Brnić
84'
Unknown
-5'
Form
Başakşehir FK
LLWDW
Gaziantep FK
DWLDL
Match facts
Stadium
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
City
Istanbul
Referee
Ali Sansalan
Kickoff
22 Dec, 14:00 UTC
Başakşehir FK
4-2-3-1
16
M. Şengezer
7.0
6
O. Bulut
6.0
5
L. Duarte
7.2
3
J. Opoku
7.3
42
Ö. A. Şahiner
6.3
4
O. Ergün
6.3
20
U. Güneş
⚽1
8.4
11
A. Fayzullaev
⚽1
9.3
14
E. Shomurodov
⚽1
7.9
25
A. Harit
6.9
9
D. Selke
6.3
Substitutes
36
F. Ebosele
6.7
2
B. A. Özdemir
6.9
77
I. Brnić
7.9
91
B. Yıldırım
6.7
18
J. Kałuziński
6.5
15
H. Güreler
13
M. Crespo
27
O. Ba
80
D. Alemdar
10
N. Da Costa
Gaziantep FK
3-1-4-2
20
Z. Görgen
5.8
17
S. Güler
6.5
14
M. Abena
6.3
4
A. Kızıldağ
5.7
6
M. Kabasakal
6.1
2
L. Pérez
6.8
10
K. Kozłowski
6.5
3
D. Camara
⚽1
8.2
77
K. Rodrigues
6.1
9
M. Bayo
6.1
44
A. Maxim
7.0
Substitutes
11
C. Lungoyi
7.0
61
O. Özçiçek
6.4
18
D. Sorescu
6.5
21
E. Boateng
6.2
23
T. T. Sanuç
6.3
7
J. Bacuna
32
Y. Kabadayi
38
R. Nizet
71
M. B. Bozan
27
E. Kulašin
Coach: Nuri Şahin
Coach: Mirel Radoi
58%Possession42%
2.68Expected goals (xG)1.82
17Total shots14
7Shots on target3
6Big chances2
2Corners3
19Fouls14
3Yellow cards4