Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 33%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 75%
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 43%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 16% · Pick: Under 3.5 goals
Timeline
J. Ceesay
24'
🔁R. Civelek ◂ L. Carole
29'
🔁D. Makarov ◂ G. Onugkha
46'
🔁F. Chalov ◂ J. Mendes
46'
D. Toköz
47'
D. Makarov
57'
🔁Y. A. Bennasser ◂ D. Toköz
57'
🔁B. Balcı ◂ H. Türkmen
71'
🔁S. Karakoç ◂ N. Storm
71'
🔁T. Sariarslan ◂ F. Soyalp
79'
🔁Y. Boli ◂ D. Sinik
79'
🔁A. Ömür ◂ D. Šarić
79'
🔁B. Öztürk ◂ S. v. d. Streek
88'
⚽T. Sariarslan
89'
T. Sariarslan
90'
Coaches
Erling MoeSami Uğurlu 
Recent form
KayserisporDGöztepe0-0Kayserispor
LKayserispor1-2Kocaelispor
LGalatasaray4-0Kayserispor
LKayserispor0-3Başakşehir FK
LBeşiktaş JK1-0Kayserispor
AntalyasporWAntalyaspor3-1Samsunspor
LFatih Karagümrük1-0Antalyaspor
DAntalyaspor1-1Trabzonspor
WAntalyaspor2-1Gençlerbirliği
DKasımpaşa0-0Antalyaspor
Match facts
Stadium
Kadir Has Stadium
City
Kayseri
Referee
Halil Umut Meler
Kickoff
22 Feb, 10:30 UTC
Kayserispor
4-1-4-1 · 4-1-4-1
Antalyaspor
25
B. Bayazit
7.6
30
J. Brenet
6.9
6
S. Güler
7.5
4
S. Denswil
7.4
23
L. Carole
6.6
24
D. Toköz
6.6
10
J. Mendes
6.7
33
F. Soyalp
6.8
8
L. Bénes
6.3
7
M. Cardoso
7.5
9
G. Onugkha
6.4
1
J. Cuesta
6.9
4
H. Türkmen
6.8
89
V. Sarı
6.4
30
L. Giannetti
7.1
3
K. Paal
6.0
23
J. Ceesay
6.7
70
D. Sinik
6.9
6
S. Dikmen
6.4
88
D. Šarić
7.0
26
N. Storm
7.4
22
S. v. d. Streek
6.2
53%Possession47%
1.99Expected goals (xG)0.9
15Total shots11
5Shots on target3
3Big chances2
5Corners5
12Fouls10
3Yellow cards1