Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
C. Mané
24'
F. Tongya
42'
🔁J. Mendes ◂ C. Mané
46'
🔁S. Onur ◂ G. Gürpüz
46'
🔁S. Koita ◂ F. Tongya
58'
🔁G. Onugkha ◂ F. Chalov
73'
🔁G. Sağlam ◂ D. Makarov
73'
🔁F. Üzüm ◂ C. Çanak
83'
🔁D. Varešanović ◂ A. M. Traoré
90'
Coaches
Metin DiyadinErling Moe 
Recent form
GençlerbirliğiLEyüpspor1-0Gençlerbirliği
DGençlerbirliği2-2Çaykur Rizespor
LFenerbahçe3-1Gençlerbirliği
WGençlerbirliği2-1Gaziantep FK
LAntalyaspor2-1Gençlerbirliği
KayserisporWKayserispor1-0Antalyaspor
DGöztepe0-0Kayserispor
LKayserispor1-2Kocaelispor
LGalatasaray4-0Kayserispor
LKayserispor0-3Başakşehir FK
Match facts
Stadium
Eryaman Stadyumu
City
Ankara
Referee
Umit Ozturk
Kickoff
01 Mar, 13:00 UTC
Gençlerbirliği
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kayserispor
24
R. Velho
7.6
13
P. Pereira
6.9
6
D. Goutas
7.0
4
Ž. Žužek
7.5
2
T. Kelven
8.1
15
T. Dele-Bashiru
7.2
99
C. Çanak
7.1
11
G. Gürpüz
6.8
70
F. Tongya
6.9
10
M. Mimaroğlu
7.0
20
A. M. Traoré
6.4
25
B. Bayazit
7.8
30
J. Brenet
6.4
6
S. Güler
7.0
4
S. Denswil
7.5
28
R. Civelek
6.9
15
Y. A. Bennasser
7.0
8
L. Bénes
6.6
18
D. Makarov
6.5
63
F. Chalov
6.5
20
C. Mané
6.1
7
M. Cardoso
7.2
Substitutes
8S. Onur7.122S. Koita6.588F. Üzüm6.753D. Varešanović7H. Onyekuru23M. Hanousek77A. Dursun18E. Erentürk61E. Kemaloğlu42O. Diabate
Coach: Metin Diyadin
54%Possession46%
0.54Expected goals (xG)0.7
10Total shots10
3Shots on target2
1Big chances1
3Corners6
14Fouls15
1Yellow cards1
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 63%
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 89% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 34%