Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 65%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 93% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 73%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 42%
Timeline
D. Toköz
8'
R. Civelek
19'
⚽P. Onuachu (pen)
45'
⚽P. Onuachu
45'
⚽B. Bayazit
53'
🔁G. Onugkha ◂ F. Chalov
62'
🔁A. N. Nwakaeme ◂ O. Zubkov
65'
🔁C. Mané ◂ D. Makarov
74'
🔁G. Sağlam ◂ F. Soyalp
74'
🔁U. Nayir ◂ F. Augusto
76'
🔁O. Yokuşlu ◂ W. Pina
76'
⚽G. Onugkha
83'
🔁S. Malkoçoğlu ◂ C. I. Oulaï
89'
🔁C. Nwaiwu ◂ E. Muçi
89'
🔁B. Kapacak ◂ R. Civelek
90'
🔁J. Mendes ◂ M. Cardoso
90'
G. Sağlam
-5'
Coaches
Erling MoeFatih Tekke 
Recent form
KayserisporDGençlerbirliği0-0Kayserispor
WKayserispor1-0Antalyaspor
DGöztepe0-0Kayserispor
LKayserispor1-2Kocaelispor
LGalatasaray4-0Kayserispor
TrabzonsporWTrabzonspor3-1Fatih Karagümrük
WGaziantep FK1-2Trabzonspor
LTrabzonspor2-3Fenerbahçe
WSamsunspor0-3Trabzonspor
DAntalyaspor1-1Trabzonspor
Match facts
Stadium
Kadir Has Stadium
City
Kayseri
Referee
Cihan Aydin
Kickoff
09 Mar, 17:00 UTC
Kayserispor
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Trabzonspor
25
B. Bayazit
7.0
30
J. Brenet
6.1
6
S. Guler
7.5
4
S. Denswil
6.6
28
R. Civelek
6.2
24
D. Toköz
3.0
8
L. Benes
8.0
18
D. Makarov
6.5
7
M. Cardoso
7.4
33
F. Soyalp
6.5
63
F. Chalov
7.0
24
A. Onana
7.5
20
W. Pina
7.3
15
S. Savic
7.2
44
A. Batagov
7.3
19
M. Eskihellaç
6.8
42
C. I. Oulaï
7.4
11
O. Tufan
6.5
22
O. Zubkov
7.3
99
F. Augusto
6.5
10
E. Muçi
7.1
30
P. Onuachu
7.9
32%Possession68%
1.52Expected goals (xG)2.76
14Total shots18
6Shots on target5
3Big chances4
6Corners8
8Fouls9
4Yellow cards0