Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
4'
🔁
A. Makoumbou ◂ O. Ntcham
31'
⚽
A. Makoumbou · assist E. Tavsan1–0
46'
⚽
T. Borevković1–1
46'
🔁
F. Chalov ◂ D. Makarov
46'
🔁
J. Mendes ◂ T. Sariarslan
64'
🔁
I. Tuci ◂ G. Onugkha
73'
🔁
T. Coulibaly ◂ E. Tavsan
73'
🔁
E. Kılınç ◂ Y. Kayan
73'
🔁
J. Mendes ◂ Z. Yavru
74'
L. Tómasson
77'
🔁
G. Sağlam ◂ L. Bénes
90'
⚽
L. Tómasson · assist J. Mendes2–1
Coaches
Thorsten FinkErling Moe 
Recent form
SamsunsporLFenerbahçe3-2Samsunspor
DSamsunspor0-0Gaziantep FK
DFatih Karagümrük0-0Samsunspor
LAntalyaspor3-1Samsunspor
LSamsunspor0-3Trabzonspor
KayserisporLKayserispor1-3Trabzonspor
DGençlerbirliği0-0Kayserispor
WKayserispor1-0Antalyaspor
DGöztepe0-0Kayserispor
LKayserispor1-2Kocaelispor
Match facts
Stadium
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu
City
Samsun
Referee
Adnan Deniz Kayatepe
Kickoff
15 Mar, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Trendyol Super Lig
Samsunspor
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Kayserispor
71
İ. C. Eğribayat
7.6
18
Z. Yavru
6.9
24
T. Borevković
6.5
37
L. Satka
7.7
17
L. Tómasson
7.9
5
C. Yüksel
7.4
10
O. Ntcham
7
E. Tavsan
7.4
20
Y. Kayan
6.8
21
C. Holse
6.1
9
M. Mouandilmadji
6.0
25
B. Bayazit
7.3
30
J. Brenet
5.9
6
S. Guler
7.2
4
S. Denswil
6.1
28
R. Civelek
6.9
18
D. Makarov
6.4
33
F. Soyalp
7.1
8
L. Benes
6.6
7
M. Cardoso
6.5
9
G. Onugkha
6.7
99
T. Sariarslan
6.2
Substitutes
29A. Makoumbou9.02J. Mendes7.211E. Kilinc6.570T. Coulibaly6.91O. Kocuk48E. B. Törüz28S. Gönül15A. Diabaté23E. Albak
Coach: Thorsten Fink
68%Possession32%
1.82Expected goals (xG)0.74
18Total shots11
8Shots on target2
4Big chances1
7Corners8
13Fouls14
1Yellow cards0
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 19% · Pick: BTTS No
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 40%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 14% · Pick: Under 3.5 goals