Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 39%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 87% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 61%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 29%
Timeline
M. Kranevitter
37'
🔁G. Onugkha ◂ F. Soyalp
46'
🔁D. Makarov ◂ J. Mendes
56'
🔁S. W. Babicka ◂ B. Kalaycı
61'
⚽G. Onugkha
assist M. Cardoso
assist M. Cardoso
66'
🔁D. Johnson ◂ T. Cukur
67'
🔁J. Katongo ◂ R. Civelek
75'
🔁Ç. Kurukalıp ◂ F. Mladenović
77'
🔁A. Traore ◂ Serginho
77'
🔁A. K. M. Kone ◂ B. Özcan
77'
🔁G. Sağlam ◂ Y. A. Bennasser
80'
F. Chalov
89'
M. Cardoso
90'
Coaches
Aleksandar Stanojević 
Recent form
LSamsunspor2-1Kayserispor
LKayserispor1-3Trabzonspor
DGençlerbirliği0-0Kayserispor
WKayserispor1-0Antalyaspor
DGöztepe0-0Kayserispor
WFatih Karagümrük2-0Fenerbahçe
DGaziantep FK1-1Fatih Karagümrük
LTrabzonspor3-1Fatih Karagümrük
DFatih Karagümrük0-0Samsunspor
LKasımpaşa3-2Fatih Karagümrük
Match facts
Stadium
Kadir Has Stadium
City
Kayseri
Referee
Halil Umut Meler
Kickoff
19 Mar, 13:00 UTC
25
B. Bayazit
6.9
30
J. Brenet
7.2
6
S. Guler
8.4
4
S. Denswil
7.8
28
R. Civelek
6.8
15
Y. A. Bennasser
7.3
10
J. Mendes
6.8
8
L. Benes
7.1
33
F. Soyalp
6.6
63
F. Chalov
7.0
7
M. Cardoso
13
I. Grbic
8.4
47
R. Esgaio
6.2
3
I. Lichnovsky
7.1
94
A. Y. Çınar
6.8
25
F. Mladenovic
6.6
5
M. Kranevitter
5.4
6
B. Elmaz
7.0
70
Serginho
6.9
8
B. Özcan
6.4
72
B. Kalaycı
6.8
21
T. Cukur
5.9
Substitutes
9G. Onugkha18D. Makarov2J. Katongo6.861G. Sağlam6.711S. Mather17B. Kapacak22I. Tuci99T. Sariarslan20C. Mané1O. Piri
Coach: Erling Moe
Substitutes
80S. W. Babicka6.411D. Johnson6.988A. Traore6.633Ç. Kurukalıp7.015A. K. M. Kone6.396K. Yandal24B. Ersoy22F. Kurucuk19Y. Onogo99F. Bekleviç
Coach: Aleksandar Stanojević
61%Possession39%
2.16Expected goals (xG)0.26
16Total shots6
5Shots on target1
6Big chances0
3Corners1
21Fouls8
2Yellow cards0