Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 28%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 71%
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 39%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 13% · Pick: Under 3.5 goals
Timeline
⚽A. Benedyczak
assist F. Diabaté
assist F. Diabaté
10'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁J. Brenet ◂ L. Bénes
60'
🔁F. Soyalp ◂ F. Chalov
60'
🔁J. Mendes Saraiva ◂ J. Katongo
60'
⚽A. Gianniotis
assist R. Becão
assist R. Becão
66'
R. Civelek
70'
🔁C. Mané ◂ D. Makarov
70'
M. B. Ouanes
73'
A. Bennasser
73'
🔁I. Tuci ◂ R. Civelek
77'
🔁N. Opoku ◂ K. A. Çörekçi
80'
🔁C. Tosun ◂ A. Benedyczak
85'
⚽Cafú
89'
⚽
90'
Cafú
90'
⚽
90'
🔁K. Demirbay ◂ F. Diabaté
90'+1
Form
Kasımpaşa
DLDWL
Kayserispor
WDLLW
Match facts
Stadium
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium
City
Istanbul
Referee
Mehmet Turkmen
Kickoff
04 Apr, 11:30 UTC
Kasımpaşa
4-2-3-1
1
A. Gianniotis
⚽1
8.3
2
C. Winck
7.6
50
R. Becão
6.9
4
A. Arous
6.7
22
K. A. Çörekçi
7.4
8
Cafú
6.7
16
A. Baldursson
6.7
71
İ. C. Kahveci
7.0
34
F. Diabaté
6.8
12
M. B. Ouanes
6.5
19
A. Benedyczak
⚽1
7.6
Substitutes
20
N. Opoku
6.7
23
C. Tosun
6.6
26
K. Demirbay
17
K. Kanatsızkuş
25
A. E. Yanar
77
P. H. Gueye
18
J. Allevinah
5
E. Aydın
29
T. U. Aydın
11
A. Y. Kol
Kayserispor
4-2-3-1
25
B. Bayazit
5.9
2
J. Katongo
6.6
6
S. Güler
6.2
4
S. Denswil
6.3
28
R. Civelek
6.4
8
L. Bénes
6.4
15
Y. A. Bennasser
7.2
18
D. Makarov
6.9
63
F. Chalov
6.2
7
M. Cardoso
6.4
9
G. Onugkha
6.4
Substitutes
10
J. Mendes
6.7
33
F. Soyalp
6.2
30
J. Brenet
6.2
20
C. Mané
6.6
22
I. Tuci
6.5
61
G. Sağlam
1
O. Piri
17
B. Kapacak
24
D. Toköz
11
S. Mather
Coach: Emre Belözoğlu
Coach: Erling Moe
38%Possession62%
0.55Expected goals (xG)0.27
8Total shots4
3Shots on target1
1Big chances0
1Corners10
18Fouls14
1Yellow cards2