Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
26'
J. Oosterwolde
32'
D. Makarov
33'
Ederson
45'
⚽
0–1
45'
⚽
45'+1
⚽
N. Kanté · assist Talisca0–1
46'
A. Bennasser
46'
🔁
R. Civelek ◂ D. Makarov
46'
🔁
Ç. Söyüncü ◂ M. Škriniar
60'
⚽
Talisca · assist A. Brown0–2
62'
⚽
D. Nene0–3
63'
🔁
G. Sağlam ◂ A. Bennasser
63'
🔁
C. Mané ◂ J. Katongo
63'
🔁
L. Bénes ◂ D. Toköz
67'
G. Sağlam
68'
🔁
A. Musaba ◂ S. Cherif
68'
🔁
M. Müldür ◂ N. Semedo
71'
🔁
O. Aydın ◂ D. Nene
75'
🔁
Fred ◂ N. Kanté
82'
🔁
G. Onugkha ◂ F. Chalov
87'
⚽
Talisca · assist K. Aktürkoğlu0–4
90'
⚽
0–4
90'
⚽
-5'
Fred
Coaches
Erling MoeZeki Murat Gole 
Recent form
KayserisporLKasımpaşa2-0Kayserispor
WKayserispor1-0Fatih Karagümrük
LSamsunspor2-1Kayserispor
LKayserispor1-3Trabzonspor
DGençlerbirliği0-0Kayserispor
FenerbahçeWFenerbahçe1-0Beşiktaş JK
WFenerbahçe4-1Gaziantep FK
LFatih Karagümrük2-0Fenerbahçe
WFenerbahçe3-2Samsunspor
DAntalyaspor2-2Fenerbahçe
Match facts
Stadium
Kadir Has Stadium
City
Kayseri
Referee
Ali Yilmaz
Kickoff
11 Apr, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Trendyol Super Lig
Kayserispor
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Fenerbahçe
25
B. Bayazit
6.2
2
J. Katongo
6.1
6
S. Güler
6.0
4
S. Denswil
6.5
30
J. Brenet
5.3
24
D. Toköz
6.4
15
Y. A. Bennasser
18
D. Makarov
6.4
33
F. Soyalp
6.6
7
M. Cardoso
6.7
63
F. Chalov
6.0
31
Ederson
7.2
27
N. Semedo
6.8
37
M. Škriniar
7.1
24
J. Oosterwolde
7.2
3
A. Brown
7.6
17
N. Kanté
7.8
6
M. Guendouzi
7.1
45
D. Nene
8.0
94
A. Talisca
9
K. Aktürkoğlu
7.2
26
S. Cherif
6.1
Substitutes
28R. Civelek6.422I. Tuci11S. Mather20C. Mané6.39G. Onugkha6.710J. Mendes1O. Piri8L. Bénes6.661G. Sağlam6.517B. Kapacak
Coach: Erling Moe
Substitutes
34M. Gunok4Ç. Söyüncü7.018M. Müldür6.97Fred7.022L. Mercan13T. Çetin70O. Aydın6.520A. Musaba6.714Y. E. Demir
Coach: Zeki Murat Gole
40%Possession60%
0.44Expected goals (xG)1.47
11Total shots18
3Shots on target7
0Big chances2
4Corners5
19Fouls11
3Yellow cards3
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 51%
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 82% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 36%