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Jose Manuel Aira
Penafiel
Portimonense SAD
Penafiel
3-4-3 · 3-4-3
Portimonense SAD
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
25669 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
58.4%
-38.7 vs price
Home
950.0 · implied 0.1%
26.5%
+26.3 vs price
Draw
18.5 · implied 5.4%
15.2%
+9.8 vs price
Half time
556 EUR · live
Away
5.1 · implied 19.6%
66.6%
+47.0 vs price
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
23.2%
-1.8 vs price
Draw
1.96 · implied 51.0%
9.9%
-41.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
16982 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.5%
-9.5 vs price
Over
50.0 · implied 2.0%
10.5%
+8.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1490 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
94.2%
-4.8 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
5.7%
+3.9 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Match events
14'
Xavier
22'
C. Silva
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
M. Cassamá ◂ Duda
56'
⚽
T. Ferreira · assist D. Djassi0–1
66'
🔁
I. Simão ◂ C. Silva
66'
🔁
D. Borel ◂ T. Alloh
78'
🔁
A. Schutte ◂ G. Negrão
82'
🔁
G. Filipe ◂ T. Ferreira
86'
🔁
W. Junior ◂ D. Djassi
86'
🔁
N. Martins ◂ À. Carbonell
86'
🔁
M. R. d. L. Oliveira ◂ Davo
Full-time · 0–1
90'+4
M. Svensson
90'+8
🔁
Italo ◂ J. Casimiro
Coaches
Alex Costa 
Recent form
LHLeganés0-2
DAFamalicão0-0
LAPaços de Ferreira1-2
WHCS Marítimo1-0
LATorreense2-3
LHNottingham Forest1-2
DACF Estrela Amadora1-1
WHAl-Ahli2-0
LHRio Ave0-3
WHSC Farense1-0
Where to watch
SportTV+
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
City
Penafiel
Kickoff
08 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal 2
Highlights & clips
Substitutes
32GJ. Femenías
3DC. Silva↓ 66'
27DG. Negrão↓ 78'
4DJ. Miguel
23DD. Oliveira
75MT. Alloh↓ 66'
11MJ. Fuentes
85MC. Augusto
10FDavo↓ 86'
Coach: Jose Manuel Aira
Substitutes
23GS. Cibois
44GLagartinho
36DThauan Lara
11MDuda↓ 46'
18MT. Ferreira↓ 82'
7FD. Djassi↓ 86'
70FG. Águas
79FP. Campos
Coach: Alex Costa
Top stats
61%Possession39%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
14Total shots9
4Shots on target2
3Big chances0
5Corners4
Shots
8Shots off target5
2Blocked shots2
12Shots inside box3
2Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed0
Attack
32Touches in box9
66Final third entries48
2Offsides2
7Free kicks18
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
451Passes298
373Accurate passes228
29/52 (56%)Long balls17/52 (33%)
7/27 (26%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
23Throw-ins23
Duels
52Duels48
33/71 (46%)Ground duels38/71 (54%)
18/27 (67%)Aerial duels9/27 (33%)
9/15 (60%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)
8Dispossessed9
Defending
17Tackles14
71Tackles won86
9Interceptions13
24Clearances36
47Recoveries47
Discipline
18Fouls7
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
9Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.42 @ Betsson
CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
Who winsPenafiel to win (DNB) 67% · 1.48 @ merkurxtip
1X2Penafiel to win 49% · 2.30 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.92 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.87 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.02 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.35 @ betfair
1X2Portimonense to win 24% · 4.20 @ betcity
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.63 @ Novibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.89
Penafiel
3.38
Draw
3.79
Portimonense SAD
Double Chanceconsensus
1.22
Penafiel or Draw
1.27
Penafiel or Portimonense SAD
1.80
Draw or Portimonense SAD
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes
1.92
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.53
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.30
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.92
Over 2.50
1.80
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.25
Over 3.50
1.29
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.40
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.39
Penafiel
2.78
Portimonense SAD
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.81
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.83
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50
2.70
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.72
Over 9.50
1.99
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.19
Over 10.50 ▲
1.62
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.89
Over 11.50 ▲
1.37
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.99
Over 12.50 ▼
1.20
Under 12.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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