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Luís Miguel Valado Tralhão
Torreense
Penafiel
Torreense
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Penafiel
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
63362 EUR · live
Away
21.0 · implied 4.8%
81.7%
+77.0 vs price
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
9.7%
+6.4 vs price
Draw
1.08 · implied 92.6%
8.5%
-84.1 vs price
Half time
318 EUR · live
Away
1.6 · implied 62.5%
95.2%
+32.7 vs price
Draw
17.0 · implied 5.9%
3.1%
-2.7 vs price
Home
130.0 · implied 0.8%
0.9%
+0.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4720 EUR · live
Over
1.22 · implied 82.0%
73.5%
-8.5 vs price
Under
5.5 · implied 18.2%
26.5%
+8.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3085 EUR · live
Under
1.91 · implied 52.4%
77.4%
+25.0 vs price
Over
2.08 · implied 48.1%
22.6%
-25.4 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
9'
⚽
M. Svensson0–1
16'
⚽
Davo · assist À. Carbonell0–2
40'
D. Jean
Half-time · 0–2
45'+5
J. Sánchez
46'
🔁
A. Baradji ◂ L. Quintero
46'
🔁
N. Jatta ◂ J. Breno
46'
🔁
J. Miguel ◂ J. Sánchez
50'
⚽
Costinha1–2
53'
Stopira
58'
Adriel
60'
🔁
A. Schutte ◂ M. Svensson
65'
🔁
L. Zohi ◂ M. Drammeh
65'
🔁
J. M. Alcedo ◂ J. Vázquez
69'
P. Sá
70'
🔁
J. Fuentes ◂ J. Pinto
72'
Stopira
76'
🔁
H. Perez ◂ Costinha
78'
N. Jatta
79'
À. Carbonell
87'
🔁
M. Oliveira ◂ À. Carbonell
88'
🔁
I. Simão ◂ A. H. Pica
Full-time · 2–2
90'+3
⚽
D. Jean · assist A. Baradji2–2
Coaches
Jose Manuel Aira 
Recent form
LASC Farense1-2
DAEstoril Praia0-0
WHAcadémica Coimbra5-0
LACasa Pia0-2
WASporting CP2-1
LHPortimonense SAD0-1
LHLeganés0-2
DAFamalicão0-0
LAPaços de Ferreira1-2
WHCS Marítimo1-0
Where to watch
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Manuel Marques
City
Torres Vedras
Kickoff
15 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal 2
Highlights & clips
31
Adriel
45
J. Mutombo
5
M. A. Diadié
2
Stopira
3
J. M. Alcedo
↑ 65'
8
A. Alfaro
21
N. Jatta
↑ 46'
47
A. Baradji
↑ 46'
28
H. Perez
↑ 76'
7
D. Jean
9
L. Zohi
↑ 65'
1
M. Oliveira
4
J. Miguel
↑ 46'
2
I. Simão
↑ 88'
3
C. Silva
27
G. Negrão
38
M. Oliveira
↑ 87'
21
P. Sá
75
T. Alloh
11
J. Fuentes
↑ 70'
33
A. Schutte
↑ 60'
10
Davo
Substitutes
16GL. Olmeta
23DJ. Vázquez↓ 65'
22DD. Bruno
55MJ. Breno↓ 46'
29ML. Quintero↓ 46'
10MCostinha↓ 76'
24MP. C. Injai
77MJ. Romero
20MC. Reina
17FM. Drammeh↓ 65'
11FM. P. Guerrero
19FK. Zoabi
Coach: Luís Miguel Valado Tralhão
Substitutes
12GA. Rojas
5DJ. Sánchez↓ 46'
6DA. H. Pica↓ 88'
23DD. Oliveira
61DM. Injai
17MJ. Pinto↓ 70'
8MÀ. Carbonell↓ 87'
29MN. Martins
85MC. Augusto
9FM. Svensson↓ 60'
Coach: Jose Manuel Aira
Top stats
0.98Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.97
Discipline
5Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
Who winsTorreense to win (DNB) 67% · 1.49 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.79 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.50 @ Betway
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.04 @ Novibet
1X2Torreense to win 48% · 2.43 @ efbet.net
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ efbet.net
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.91 @ boylesports
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.57 @ betinasia
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 1.39 @ betfair
1X2Penafiel to win 24% · 4.30 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.82
Torreense
3.30
Draw
4.02
Penafiel
Double Chanceconsensus
1.20
Torreense or Draw ▲
1.28
Torreense or Penafiel ▼
1.82
Draw or Penafiel ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.90
Yes
1.78
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50
3.02
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.10
Over 2.50
1.67
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.72
Over 3.50
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.25
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.36
Torreense ▲
2.91
Penafiel ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
5.15
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.30
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.44
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.82
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.34
Over 10.50
1.51
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.13
Over 11.50 ▼
1.29
Under 11.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.60
Over 12.50
1.17
Under 12.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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