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Jorge Manuel Freitas Pinto
Amarante FC
Lusitânia Lourosa
Amarante FC
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Lusitânia Lourosa
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
18453 EUR · live
Away
1.06 · implied 94.3%
71.8%
-22.5 vs price
Draw
15.5 · implied 6.5%
16.5%
+10.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.7%
+11.6 vs price
Half time
746 EUR · live
Home
6.2 · implied 16.1%
42.5%
+26.4 vs price
Away
4.4 · implied 22.7%
38.4%
+15.6 vs price
Draw
2.16 · implied 46.3%
18.9%
-27.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
15016 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.6%
-11.5 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
15.3%
+12.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
839 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
74.2%
-23.8 vs price
Over
140.0 · implied 0.7%
25.6%
+24.9 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Match events
29'
⚽
J. Santos0–1
40'
A. Nunes
Half-time · 0–1
49'
Ricardinho
52'
J. Ricardo
60'
🔁
Arome ◂ Nito
63'
🔁
Danny ◂ S. Mandiang
66'
🔁
I. Custódio ◂ Alemão
66'
🔁
R. Alves ◂ J. Ricardo
74'
🔁
A. Ricardo ◂ J. Santos
74'
🔁
J. Silva ◂ Fabinho
82'
🔁
A. Montez ◂ Ricardinho
82'
🔁
Guilherme ◂ D. Collard
87'
B. Faria
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Jorge Manuel Freitas PintoRicardo Salvador Macedo Silva 
Recent form
Amarante FCLATondela1-2
LAMoreirense0-2
LAChaves1-2
WAVitória SC B3-1
WHUD Santarém1-0
Lusitânia LourosaWHFC Porto B2-0
LAUSC Paredes2-4
LHFC Arouca0-2
DALeça FC0-0
DHFC Porto B3-3
Where to watch
Betano
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Amarante
City
Amarante
Kickoff
16 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal 2
Highlights & clips
Amarante FC
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Lusitânia Lourosa
65
D. Figueiredo
3
F. Mendes
2
G. Cunha
36
I. Custódio
↑ 66'
28
D. Pereira
14
Arome
↑ 60'
8
T. Dória
88
R. Alves
↑ 66'
26
F. Zangre
10
M. Costa
7
L. Ferreira
32
V. Hugo
42
Guilherme
↑ 82'
6
A. Montez
↑ 82'
22
B. Faria
52
F. Machado
20
D. Paulo
12
A. Nunes
60
Danny
↑ 63'
10
A. Ricardo
↑ 74'
21
Paulité
9
J. Silva
↑ 74'
Substitutes
1GR. Flores
11DAlemão↓ 66'
15DR. Beirão
85MNito↓ 60'
6MR. Guedes
17MR. Silva
5FJ. Ricardo↓ 66'
9FCardoso
Coach: Jorge Manuel Freitas Pinto
Substitutes
1GG. Souza
24DRicardinho↓ 82'
4DD. Collard↓ 82'
5DS. Junio
16DL. Rocha
19MS. Mandiang↓ 63'
27MFabinho↓ 74'
46MF. Reis
88MM. Teixeira
17FJ. Santos↓ 74'
11FM. Tablante
80FManel
Coach: Ricardo Salvador Macedo Silva
Top stats
0.73Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.46
Discipline
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.70 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Draw 30% · 2.41 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.24 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Lusitânia to win 35% · 3.14 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.92 @ betfair
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.86 @ Marathon
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.55 @ betinasia
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.50 @ fonbet
Who winsAmarante to win (DNB) 50% · 1.87 @ merkurxtip
1X2Amarante to win 35% · 3.21 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.69
Amarante FC
3.07
Draw
2.50
Lusitânia Lourosa
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Amarante FC or Draw
1.31
Amarante FC or Lusitânia Lourosa
1.39
Draw or Lusitânia Lourosa
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.90
Yes
1.77
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.08
Over 0.50
7.19
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.40
Over 1.50
2.69
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.20
Over 2.50
1.58
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.04
Over 3.50 ▼
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.71
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.91
Amarante FC
1.79
Lusitânia Lourosa
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
5.15
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.39
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.54
Over 8.50
2.32
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.81
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.32
Over 10.50
1.51
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.19
Over 11.50
1.29
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.30
Over 12.50
1.16
Under 12.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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