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Carlos Fangueiro
Leixões SC
Tondela
Leixões SC
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Tondela
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
27257 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.3%
-23.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
13.9%
+13.8 vs price
Draw
110.0 · implied 0.9%
13.8%
+12.9 vs price
Half time
698 EUR · live
Draw
1.09 · implied 91.7%
63.3%
-28.4 vs price
Away
5.4 · implied 18.5%
23.2%
+4.7 vs price
Home
17.0 · implied 5.9%
13.2%
+7.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24094 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.1%
-7.9 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
9.5%
+7.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9430 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
98.4%
-0.6 vs price
Over
200.0 · implied 0.5%
1.6%
+1.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Match events
38'
H. Tavares
38'
S. Agra
Half-time · 0–0
45'+5
Cicero
55'
🔁
G. Novero ◂ J. Lima
55'
🔁
Tomané ◂ H. Félix
60'
⚽
J. Bica (pen)1–0
72'
🔁
R. Pina ◂ B. Róchez
72'
🔁
L. Paraizo ◂ S. Agra
76'
🔁
Y. Sithole ◂ H. Tavares
79'
Tomané
79'
🔁
S. Nhaga ◂ Simãozinho
79'
🔁
L. Henriques ◂ R. Barbosa
83'
🔁
M. Moshood ◂ J. Bica
86'
🔁
A. Van Der Heide ◂ C. Marques
86'
🔁
Bebeto ◂ Farru
Full-time · 1–0
90'+2
R. Pina
90'+2
G. Novero
90'+5
J. Ribeiro
Coaches
Ricardo Costa 
Recent form
LASL Benfica B0-1
WHCasa Pia6-2
WHVizela3-2
DACD Nacional3-3
LACS Marítimo2-3
WHAmarante FC2-1
LARio Ave1-3
DHSC São João Ver1-1
LAFamalicão0-1
WHAcadémica Coimbra2-1
Where to watch
Sport TV2
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Mar
City
Matosinhos
Kickoff
16 Aug, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal 2
Highlights & clips
51
I. Stefanović
77
Paulinho
4
M. Costa
63
H. Faria
30
S. Nhaga
↑ 79'
3
L. Henriques
↑ 79'
6
A. Baldé
22
C. Araújo
88
R. Pina
↑ 72'
33
L. Paraizo
↑ 72'
99
M. Moshood
↑ 83'
1
L. Cañizares
2
Bebeto
↑ 86'
26
A. Van Der Heide
↑ 86'
23
B. Medina
15
Carraça
13
Y. Sithole
↑ 76'
97
Cicero
12
J. Ribeiro
17
G. Novero
↑ 55'
7
Cascavel
19
Tomané
↑ 55'
Substitutes
47GJ. Cardoso
15DSimãozinho↓ 79'
2DF. Fonseca
83DA. Gonçalves
7MS. Agra↓ 72'
10MR. Barbosa↓ 79'
17MA. Baggio
21MA. D. Armas
80MJ. Assunção
35FB. Róchez↓ 72'
9FJ. Bica↓ 83'
Coach: Carlos Fangueiro
Substitutes
28GC. Eduardo
4DC. Marques↓ 86'
6DFarru↓ 86'
22DB. Almeida
21DG. A. Ramalho
5DJ. Afonso
37DM. Sarará
20MH. Félix↓ 55'
8MH. Tavares↓ 76'
11MR. C. Alves
14MX. Huarte
9FJ. Lima↓ 55'
Coach: Ricardo Costa
Top stats
1.48Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.47
Discipline
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 65 bookmakers
1X2Draw 31% · 2.53 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.87 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.51 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.86 @ betfair
1X2Tondela to win 35% · 3.34 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.03 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ betinasia
Who winsLeixões to win (DNB) 50% · 1.79 @ merkurxtip
1X2Leixões to win 35% · 3.07 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.29
Leixões SC
3.09
Draw
3.06
Tondela
Double Chanceconsensus
1.33
Leixões SC or Draw
1.32
Leixões SC or Tondela
1.54
Draw or Tondela
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.75
Yes
1.98
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.55
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.75
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.47
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.80
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.63
Leixões SC
2.14
Tondela
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.23
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.26
Over 7.50
3.44
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.47
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.83
Over 9.50
1.88
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.31
Over 10.50
1.52
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.15
Over 11.50
1.30
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
4.23
Over 12.50
1.17
Under 12.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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