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Fábio Pereira
União de Leiria
Tondela
União de Leiria
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Tondela
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
51347 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.1%
-14.9 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
8.2%
+8.1 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
7.9%
+7.7 vs price
Half time
265 EUR · live
Away
5.2 · implied 19.2%
67.2%
+48.0 vs price
Draw
1.73 · implied 57.8%
29.5%
-28.3 vs price
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
2.6%
-22.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23200 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
86.6%
-9.6 vs price
Over
14.5 · implied 6.9%
13.4%
+6.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
953 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
91.4%
-5.7 vs price
Over
42.0 · implied 2.4%
8.5%
+6.1 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Match events
38'
Carraça
Half-time · 0–0
48'
Cascavel
52'
⚽
P. Fernández1–0
62'
🔁
X. Huarte ◂ Y. Sithole
64'
🔁
Jaiminho ◂ J. d. Silva
66'
⚽
J. N. Ondo2–0
71'
🔁
J. Lima ◂ Carraça
72'
I. Guirassy
72'
🔁
Bebeto ◂ H. Tavares
78'
🔁
A. Van Der Heide ◂ Cascavel
78'
🔁
T. Dias ◂ G. Novero
83'
🔁
D. Martins ◂ P. Fernández
83'
🔁
S. Ntanda ◂ J. Muñoz
83'
🔁
K. Eboue ◂ A. Lottin
Full-time · 2–0
90'+3
🔁
Tharlley ◂ J. N. Ondo
Coaches
Fábio PereiraRicardo Costa 
Recent form
União de LeiriaWALeixões SC4-2
LHSL Benfica B1-2
LAVizela0-1
LAUD Las Palmas2-3
WHAD Marco 092-0
TondelaLHAcadémica Coimbra0-2
LALeixões SC0-1
WHAmarante FC2-1
LARio Ave1-3
DHSC São João Ver1-1
Where to watch
SportTV+
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
City
Leiria
Kickoff
28 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal 2
Highlights & clips
União de Leiria
4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Tondela
99
J. Odehnal
68
Maga
44
Marcelo
16
Z. Pedro
70
H. Masaki
21
Jaiminho
↑ 64'
6
K. Eboue
↑ 83'
98
I. Guirassy
88
D. Martins
↑ 83'
82
S. Ntanda
↑ 83'
18
Tharlley
↑ 90'
28
C. Eduardo
9
J. Lima
↑ 71'
5
J. Afonso
6
Farru
12
J. Ribeiro
14
X. Huarte
↑ 62'
26
A. Van Der Heide
↑ 78'
2
Bebeto
↑ 72'
77
T. Dias
↑ 78'
20
H. Félix
19
Tomané
Substitutes
80GC. Sanchez
4DL. Kapilevich
11MJ. d. Silva↓ 64'
19MA. Lottin↓ 83'
8MReko
20MB. Aguiar Gomes
22MM. Almeida
25MD. Amado
17FP. Fernández↓ 83'
9FJ. Muñoz↓ 83'
7FJ. N. Ondo↓ 90'
79FP. Oliveira
Coach: Fábio Pereira
Substitutes
95GR. d. Silva
15DCarraça↓ 71'
4DC. Marques
21DG. A. Ramalho
22DB. Almeida
37DM. Sarará
13MY. Sithole↓ 62'
8MH. Tavares↓ 72'
7MCascavel↓ 78'
17MG. Novero↓ 78'
11MR. C. Alves
Coach: Ricardo Costa
Top stats
0.49Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.88
Discipline
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
Who winsLeiria to win (DNB) 68% · 1.63 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.40 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.77 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.29 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
1X2Leiria to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.40 @ 1xBet
1X2Tondela to win 28% · 3.65 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
União de Leiria
3.20
Draw
3.21
Tondela
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
União de Leiria or Draw
1.25
União de Leiria or Tondela
1.67
Draw or Tondela
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.77
Yes
1.93
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
8.97
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.48
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.25
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.60
União de Leiria
2.23
Tondela
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
2.91
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.67
Over 8.50
2.13
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.04
Over 9.50
1.71
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.64
Over 10.50
1.40
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.68
Over 11.50
1.20
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.70
União de Leiria
2.10
Draw
3.80
Tondela
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.50
União de Leiria
2.39
Draw
3.60
Tondela
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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