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Alex Costa
Portimonense SAD
Leixões SC
Portimonense SAD
3-4-3 · 4-4-2
Leixões SC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
20496 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
56.0%
-43.0 vs price
Home
950.0 · implied 0.1%
35.0%
+34.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.1%
+9.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
17663 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
88.2%
-7.9 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
11.8%
+7.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3027 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
98.2%
-0.8 vs price
Over
75.0 · implied 1.3%
1.8%
+0.4 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Match events
26'
Paulinho
36'
T. Ferreira
40'
⚽
B. Róchez · assist C. Araújo0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
F. Fonseca ◂ Paulinho
46'
🔁
Y. d. Rocha ◂ M. Junior
46'
🔁
M. Cassamá ◂ J. Casimiro
59'
🔁
A. D. Armas ◂ J. Assunção
69'
🔁
Thauan Lara ◂ T. Ferreira
69'
🔁
W. Junior ◂ D. Djassi
71'
🔁
Kaique ◂ L. Paraizo
71'
🔁
M. Sousa ◂ S. Agra
77'
⚽
B. Róchez (pen)0–2
83'
🔁
S. Commey ◂ R. Barbosa
85'
M. Sousa
86'
M. Cassamá
87'
Kaique
87'
🔁
Wermeson ◂ J. Reis
Full-time · 0–2
90'+7
J. Amurim
90'+8
Xavier
Coaches
Carlos Fangueiro 
Recent form
DASL Benfica B1-1
WHVizela2-0
WAPenafiel1-0
LHNottingham Forest1-2
DACF Estrela Amadora1-1
LHUnião de Leiria2-4
WHTondela1-0
LASL Benfica B0-1
WHCasa Pia6-2
WHVizela3-2
Where to watch
Sport TV1
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Portimão
City
Portimão
Kickoff
29 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal 2
Highlights & clips
1
Dudu
19
M. Cassamá
↑ 46'
6
Samy
3
J. Amurim
2
Edney
15
Xavier
21
Y. d. Rocha
↑ 46'
38
Wermeson
↑ 87'
36
Thauan Lara
↑ 69'
93
W. Junior
↑ 69'
11
Duda
1
Simão
2
F. Fonseca
↑ 46'
4
M. Costa
3
L. Henriques
30
S. Nhaga
8
M. Sousa
↑ 71'
21
A. D. Armas
↑ 59'
22
C. Araújo
44
S. Commey
↑ 83'
71
Kaique
↑ 71'
35
B. Róchez
⚽2
Substitutes
23GS. Cibois
44GL. Rodrigues
73DM. Junior↓ 46'
4DItalo
8MJ. Casimiro↓ 46'
18MT. Ferreira↓ 69'
17MJ. Reis↓ 87'
9MS. Y. Yépié
80MFavero
20MC. Okereke
7FD. Djassi↓ 69'
70FG. Águas
Coach: Alex Costa
Substitutes
51GI. Stefanović
77DPaulinho↓ 46'
15DSimãozinho
41DD. Nolasco
63DH. Faria
80MJ. Assunção↓ 59'
7MS. Agra↓ 71'
10MR. Barbosa↓ 83'
17MA. Baggio
88MR. Pina
33FL. Paraizo↓ 71'
99FM. Moshood
Coach: Carlos Fangueiro
Top stats
0.48Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.38
Discipline
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 28 bookmakers
1X2Leixões to win 38% · 3.10 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.15 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.38 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.45 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.32 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.50 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.98 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ 888Sport
Who winsPortimonense to win (DNB) 54% · 2.10 @ Bet365
1X2Portimonense to win 33% · 3.20 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.43
Portimonense SAD ▼
3.00
Draw ▲
2.67
Leixões SC ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Portimonense SAD or Draw
1.34
Portimonense SAD or Leixões SC ▼
1.46
Draw or Leixões SC ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.81
Yes ▼
1.90
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.75
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50 ▼
3.05
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.09
Over 2.50 ▼
1.68
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.72
Over 3.50 ▼
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.50
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.02
Portimonense SAD
1.73
Leixões SC
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.54
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.50
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.78
Over 9.50
1.93
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.22
Over 10.50
1.59
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.96
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.00
Portimonense SAD
2.05
Draw
3.30
Leixões SC
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.88
Portimonense SAD
2.25
Draw
3.10
Leixões SC
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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