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João Brandão
FC Porto B
Penafiel
FC Porto B
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Penafiel
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
13600 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
76.4%
-22.6 vs price
Home
340.0 · implied 0.3%
16.6%
+16.3 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
7.0%
+6.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4614 EUR · live
Over
1.33 · implied 75.2%
55.8%
-19.4 vs price
Under
4.0 · implied 25.0%
44.5%
+19.5 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Match events
5'
⚽
M. Svensson0–1
17'
D. Rodrigues
35'
⚽
J. Pinto0–2
42'
Davo
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
E. Ferreira ◂ C. Varela
47'
🔁
E. Ferreira ◂ C. Varela
47'
🔁
C. Varela ◂ E. Ferreira
50'
⚽
G. Negrão0–3
55'
🔁
A. Schutte ◂ Davo
55'
🔁
A. Schutte ◂ Davo
56'
🔁
Kauê ◂ T. Silva
56'
🔁
D. Muxito ◂ M. Mide
56'
🔁
E. Granaas ◂ D. Cunha
56'
🔁
Kauê ◂ T. Silva
56'
🔁
D. Muxito ◂ M. Mide
56'
🔁
E. Granaas ◂ D. Cunha
56'
🔁
A. Schutte ◂ Davo
57'
🔁
Kauê ◂ T. Silva
60'
P. Sá
62'
🔁
M. A. Niang ◂ T. Melnichenko
62'
🔁
M. A. Niang ◂ T. Melnichenko
66'
J. Sánchez
68'
M. Cunha
69'
E. Granaas
77'
🔁
F. Varela ◂ J. Pinto
77'
🔁
D. Borel ◂ J. Sánchez
78'
🔁
F. Varela ◂ J. Pinto
78'
🔁
◂ P. Sá
88'
🔁
J. Miguel ◂ J. Sánchez
89'
M. A. Niang
89'
🔁
◂ M. Svensson
89'
🔁
J. Miguel ◂ J. Sánchez
Full-time · 0–3
Coaches
João BrandãoJose Manuel Aira 
Recent form
FC Porto BWAFeirense1-0
LHSC Farense1-3
LALusitânia Lourosa0-2
DALusitânia Lourosa3-3
LHAcadémica Coimbra1-3
PenafielWHSporting CP B U212-0
DATorreense2-2
LHPortimonense SAD0-1
LHLeganés0-2
DAFamalicão0-0
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes
City
Vila Nova de Gaia
Kickoff
30 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal 2
Highlights & clips
FC Porto B
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
Penafiel
50
J. Afonso
76
D. Rodrigues
93
T. Ferreira
54
A. Ribeiro
84
M. Cunha
61
D. Muxito
↑ 56'
66
B. Lima
70
E. Granaas
↑ 56'
56
Kauê
↑ 56'
53
E. Ferreira
↑ 46'
46
M. A. Niang
↑ 62'
1
M. Oliveira
7
D. Borel
↑ 77'
6
A. H. Pica
3
C. Silva
27
G. Negrão
⚽1
8
À. Carbonell
4
J. Miguel
↑ 88'
75
T. Alloh
50
F. Varela
↑ 77'
9
M. Svensson
⚽1
33
A. Schutte
↑ 55'
Substitutes
41GG. Silva
91GG. Ribeiro
55DY. Pereira
64DL. Gomes
94DChelmik
58MT. Silva↓ 56'
57MD. Cunha↓ 56'
92MJ. Teixeira
47FC. Varela↓ 46'
89FM. Mide↓ 56'
43FT. Melnichenko↓ 62'
62FG. Guerra
Coach: João Brandão
Substitutes
12GA. Rojas
28GT. Ribeiro
5DJ. Sánchez↓ 77'
2DI. Simão
17MJ. Pinto↓ 77'
21MP. Sá↓ 78'
11MJ. Fuentes
29MNuninho
85MC. Augusto
10FDavo↓ 55'
18FK. N. Sinyam
Coach: Jose Manuel Aira
Top stats
1.1Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.75
Discipline
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 29 bookmakers
1X2Penafiel to win 38% · 3.20 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.14 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.37 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.82 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.75 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.55 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 69% · 2.40 @ 888Sport
Who winsPorto B to win (DNB) 52% · 2.15 @ 10bet
1X2Porto B to win 33% · 3.26 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.42
FC Porto B ▼
2.96
Draw ▲
2.76
Penafiel ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
FC Porto B or Draw ▲
1.34
FC Porto B or Penafiel ▼
1.48
Draw or Penafiel ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.89
Yes
1.82
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.25
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.39
Over 1.50 ▼
2.75
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.21
Over 2.50 ▼
1.58
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.12
Over 3.50 ▼
1.20
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50 ▼
1.05
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
2.00
FC Porto B
1.70
Penafiel
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.14
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50
2.29
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50
1.79
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.46
Over 10.50
1.48
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.36
Over 11.50
1.24
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.50
FC Porto B
2.05
Draw
3.05
Penafiel
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.88
FC Porto B
2.20
Draw
3.20
Penafiel
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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