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Jose Manuel Aira
Penafiel
Académica Coimbra
Penafiel
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
Académica Coimbra
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
51037 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.0%
-10.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.2%
+6.1 vs price
Draw
490.0 · implied 0.2%
4.8%
+4.6 vs price
Half time
764 EUR · live
Home
4.0 · implied 25.0%
36.1%
+11.1 vs price
Draw
1.76 · implied 56.8%
36.1%
-20.7 vs price
Away
4.6 · implied 21.7%
27.6%
+5.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4508 EUR · live
Over
1.48 · implied 67.6%
64.3%
-3.3 vs price
Under
3.1 · implied 32.3%
35.7%
+3.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1794 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
97.2%
-1.8 vs price
Over
32.0 · implied 3.1%
2.7%
-0.4 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Match events
25'
🔁
I. Simão ◂ C. Silva
36'
⚽
P. Sá1–0
40'
H. Lopes
42'
⚽
Davo2–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'
P. Sá
46'
🔁
F. Varela ◂ Davo
46'
🔁
M. Tavares ◂ J. Sinisterra
53'
À. Carbonell
57'
⚽
J. Pinto · assist M. Svensson3–0
61'
🔁
R. Gomes ◂ I. Faure
61'
🔁
A. Coundoul ◂ Kaka
62'
M. Svensson
71'
⚽
M. Svensson (pen)4–0
74'
À. Carbonell
79'
🔁
H. Nunes ◂ R. Teixeira
80'
🔁
A. Schutte ◂ M. Svensson
80'
A. Schutte
84'
🔁
J. Oliveira ◂ M. Paulo
84'
🔁
D. Borel ◂ A. H. Pica
84'
🔁
M. Oliveira ◂ J. Pinto
86'
Ni
Full-time · 4–1
90'+2
⚽
L. Silva (pen)4–1
90'+2
G. Negrão
90'+4
I. Simão
Coaches
Jose Manuel AiraAntonio Barbosa 
Recent form
PenafielWAFC Porto B3-0
WHSporting CP B U212-0
DATorreense2-2
LHPortimonense SAD0-1
LHLeganés0-2
Académica CoimbraLHLusitânia Lourosa0-2
WATondela2-0
WHFeirense1-0
WAChaves4-1
DACaldas SC2-2
Where to watch
SportTV+
Match facts
Stadium
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril
City
Penafiel
Kickoff
05 Sep, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Liga Portugal 2
Highlights & clips
Penafiel
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
Académica Coimbra
1
M. Oliveira
5
J. Sánchez
38
M. Oliveira
↑ 84'
2
I. Simão
↑ 25'
27
G. Negrão
8
À. Carbonell
21
P. Sá
⚽1
75
T. Alloh
7
D. Borel
↑ 84'
33
A. Schutte
↑ 80'
50
F. Varela
↑ 46'
98
C. Alves
23
R. Gomes
↑ 61'
46
H. Nunes
↑ 79'
54
Ni
22
H. Lopes
60
J. Oliveira
↑ 84'
5
L. Silva
⚽1
9
M. Tavares
↑ 46'
19
A. Rodrigues
92
A. Coundoul
↑ 61'
7
A. B. Mane
Substitutes
13GE. Puerto
3DC. Silva↓ 25'
6DA. H. Pica↓ 84'
23DD. S. Oliveira
4DJ. Miguel
17MJ. Pinto↓ 84'
11MJ. Fuentes
85MC. Augusto
10FDavo↓ 46'
9FM. Svensson↓ 80'
99FC. Mendes
18K. Nfanseu
Coach: Jose Manuel Aira
Substitutes
12GV. Braga
1GN. Macedo
15DKaka↓ 61'
3DR. Teixeira↓ 79'
13DKauan
4DG. Silva
20MJ. Sinisterra↓ 46'
17MM. Paulo↓ 84'
26MT. Soares
10FI. Faure↓ 61'
Coach: Antonio Barbosa
Top stats
1.76Expected goals (xG, estimated)3.01
Discipline
6Yellow cards2
2Red cards0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 22 bookmakers
Who winsAcadémica to win (DNB) 61% · 2.50 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.12 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.23 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.30 @ Bet365
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.34 @ 1xBet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 55% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
1X2Penafiel to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
1X2Académica to win 27% · 3.90 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.40 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
Penafiel
3.10
Draw
3.40
Académica Coimbra
Double Chanceconsensus
1.27
Penafiel or Draw
1.30
Penafiel or Académica Coimbra
1.62
Draw or Académica Coimbra
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.93
Yes
1.78
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
2.89
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.23
Over 2.50
1.62
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.20
Over 3.50
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.51
Penafiel
2.40
Académica Coimbra
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.44
Over 7.50
2.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.71
Over 8.50
2.04
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.13
Over 9.50
1.64
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.84
Over 10.50
1.34
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
4.05
Over 11.50
1.16
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.75
Penafiel
2.02
Draw
4.05
Académica Coimbra
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.50
Penafiel
2.28
Draw
3.80
Académica Coimbra
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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