Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Leixões are rolling, Porto B are struggling** — this is David vs. Goliath but with a twist: the underdog's got momentum. 🔥
Leixões have won three of their last five and look sharp at home. Porto B, meanwhile, are spinning out with back-to-back thrashings and just one win in five. The head-to-head is tight (12-11 to Leixões all-time), but form is screaming one direction right now.
Key storylines:
- **Leixões' attacking rhythm** — strikers Paulinho and L. Paraizo have been clinical; Porto B's defense has leaked three goals twice already
- **Porto B's meltdown** — after losses to Tondela and Penafiel, the youngsters need to shore up at the back, but that's easier said than done away from home
- **Midfield battle** — S. Nhaga and A. Baggio need to control the tempo for Leixões to keep Porto B's playmakers quiet
Expected lineups:
- **Leixões SC**: I. Stefanović, Simãozinho, H. Faria, L. Henriques, F. Fonseca, S. Nhaga, A. Baggio, C. Araújo, Paulinho, L. Paraizo, R. Barbosa
- **FC Porto B**: G. Ribeiro, M. Cunha, A. Ribeiro, T. Ferreira, D. Rodrigues, Kauê, B. Lima, A. Candé, M. Mide, D. Cunha, E. Ferreira
Prediction:
**Leixões 2–1 Porto B**. Leixões' form and home edge give them the slight edge; Porto B won't roll over, but they're too leaky right now.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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