SC Farense 1-4 Penafiel: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 24, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. SC Farense 1-4 Penafiel.

90+4'

D. Borel

Attempt saved. D. Borel (Penafiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+2'

T. Teixeira

Attempt missed. T. Teixeira (Penafiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

90+2'

A. Pinto

Yellow card for A. Pinto (SC Farense).

90+1'

J. Pinto

Substitution, Penafiel: T. Teixeira comes on for J. Pinto.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

C. Silva

Attempt blocked. C. Silva (Penafiel), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

87'

C. Mendes

Goal! SC Farense 1-4 Penafiel. C. Mendes (Penafiel) scores.

86'

Davo

Attempt missed. Davo (Penafiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

84'

A. Pinto

Attempt missed. A. Pinto (SC Farense), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

83'

J. Sánchez

Substitution, Penafiel: J. Miguel comes on for J. Sánchez.

82'

M. Svensson

Substitution, Penafiel: C. Mendes comes on for M. Svensson.

78'

J. N'Duquidi

Red card! J. N'Duquidi (SC Farense) is sent off.

71'

G. Barbosa

Attempt saved. G. Barbosa (SC Farense), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

70'

Mattheus

Attempt saved. Mattheus (SC Farense), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

69'

M. Svensson

Attempt missed. M. Svensson (Penafiel), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

67'

A. Schutte

Substitution, Penafiel: Davo comes on for A. Schutte.

65'

A. Candeias

Attempt saved. A. Candeias (SC Farense), left-footed shot. xG 0.95.

65'

A. Candeias

Goal! SC Farense 1-3 Penafiel. A. Candeias (SC Farense) scores.

64'

Mattheus

Attempt saved. Mattheus (SC Farense), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

63'

J. Pinto

Attempt missed. J. Pinto (Penafiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

62'

S. Singh

Substitution, SC Farense: M. Menino comes on for S. Singh.

62'

T. Herrero

Substitution, SC Farense: D. Poloni comes on for T. Herrero.

55'

S. Singh

Yellow card for S. Singh (SC Farense).

49'

F. Varela

Attempt missed. F. Varela (Penafiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

47'

C. Silva

Attempt blocked. C. Silva (Penafiel), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

46'

J. Resende

Substitution, SC Farense: G. Barbosa comes on for J. Resende.

46'

J. Fuentes

Substitution, Penafiel: F. Varela comes on for J. Fuentes.

46'

C. Falcão

Substitution, SC Farense: J. N'Duquidi comes on for C. Falcão.

46'

N. Oliveira

Substitution, SC Farense: Cuba comes on for N. Oliveira.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. SC Farense 0-3 Penafiel.

45+6'

N. Oliveira

Attempt blocked. N. Oliveira (SC Farense), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

45+3'

C. Falcão

Yellow card for C. Falcão (SC Farense).

45+2'

A. Candeias

Attempt missed. A. Candeias (SC Farense), header. xG 0.61.

45'

5 minutes of added time.

45'

J. Fuentes

Attempt missed. J. Fuentes (Penafiel), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

43'

M. Svensson

Attempt blocked. M. Svensson (Penafiel), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

36'

S. Singh

Attempt blocked. S. Singh (SC Farense), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

36'

N. Oliveira

Attempt missed. N. Oliveira (SC Farense), header. xG 0.16.

35'

S. Singh

Attempt saved. S. Singh (SC Farense), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

35'

G. Silva

Attempt blocked. G. Silva (SC Farense), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

28'

M. Svensson

Attempt missed. M. Svensson (Penafiel), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.01.

25'

C. Falcão

Attempt missed. C. Falcão (SC Farense), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

22'

A. Candeias

Attempt missed. A. Candeias (SC Farense), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

19'

Mattheus

Attempt missed. Mattheus (SC Farense), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

16'

Mattheus

Attempt saved. Mattheus (SC Farense), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

14'

J. Fuentes

Goal! SC Farense 0-3 Penafiel. J. Fuentes (Penafiel) scores.

11'

A. Schutte

Goal! SC Farense 0-2 Penafiel. A. Schutte (Penafiel) scores.

8'

N. Oliveira

Yellow card for N. Oliveira (SC Farense).

6'

P. Sá

Yellow card for P. Sá (Penafiel).

4'

A. Schutte

Goal! SC Farense 0-1 Penafiel. A. Schutte (Penafiel) scores, assisted by J. Pinto.

1'

Kick-off: SC Farense vs Penafiel.

Where the money is

49494 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 38445 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

85.9%

-13.1 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

12.4%

+12.3 vs price

Draw 50.0 · implied 2.0%

2.5%

+0.5 vs price

Half time 92 EUR

Draw 2.28 · implied 43.9%

86.0%

+42.1 vs price

Away 4.9 · implied 20.4%

13.9%

-6.5 vs price

Home 2.74 · implied 36.5%

0.1%

-36.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 464 EUR · live

Over 1.39 · implied 71.9%

64.0%

-8.0 vs price

Under 2.24 · implied 44.6%

37.6%

-7.1 vs price

9 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 6 clips

Match events

4' ⚽ A. Schutte · assist J. Pinto0–1

6' P. Sá

8' N. Oliveira

11' ⚽ A. Schutte0–2

14' ⚽ J. Fuentes0–3

Half-time · 0–3

45'⁺³ C. Falcão

46' 🔁 Cuba ◂ N. Oliveira

46' 🔁 J. N'Duquidi ◂ C. Falcão

46' 🔁 F. Varela ◂ J. Fuentes

46' 🔁 G. Barbosa ◂ J. Resende

55' S. Singh

62' 🔁 D. Poloni ◂ T. Herrero

62' 🔁 M. Menino ◂ S. Singh

65' ⚽ A. Candeias1–3

67' 🔁 Davo ◂ A. Schutte

78' J. N'Duquidi

82' 🔁 C. Mendes ◂ M. Svensson

83' 🔁 J. Miguel ◂ J. Sánchez

87' ⚽ C. Mendes1–4

Full-time · 1–4

90'⁺¹ 🔁 T. Teixeira ◂ J. Pinto

90'⁺² A. Pinto

Coaches

José Faria

Jose Manuel Aira

Recent form

SC Farense

WHAD Marco 093-0

WHFeirense2-1

WHChaves4-0

WASacavenense1-0

DAAVS - Futebol SAD0-0

Penafiel

LHLeça FC0-1

LHAVS - Futebol SAD1-2

DHDeportivo de A Coruña2-2

WAUD Oliveirense2-1

WAFelgueiras2-1

About this match

**Farense are rolling hard** — four wins in their last five and this is basically a home coronation ceremony for the Liga Portugal 2 form book. 🔥

Penafiel's showing up with a dodgy record (2W-1D-2L), fresh off losses to Leça and AVS. Meanwhile Farense just demolished Chaves 4-0 at home. The vibes are not balanced.

Key storylines:

- **Farense's attacking depth** keeps clicking — 3-0, 2-1, 4-0 tells you everything about their current groove
- **Penafiel struggling away from home stability** — they've leaked goals and dropped points against any team with a pulse
- **Head-to-head leans Farense's way** historically (4 wins vs 3), though draws are common

Expected lineups:

- **SC Farense**: F. Buntić, D. Poloni, N. Zolotić, Rodrigo, C. Falcão, J. N'Duquidi, Rafinha, Cuba, A. Candeias
- **Penafiel**: M. Oliveira, A. H. Pica, J. Miguel, C. Silva, G. Negrão, J. Pinto, J. Fuentes, A. Schutte, M. Svensson

Prediction:

**Farense 2–0 Penafiel** — Farense have the form, the home ground, and the momentum. Penafiel's leaky defense walks into a buzzsaw. 💪

Where to watch

Sport TV6

Match facts

Stadium

Estádio de São Luís

City

Faro

Referee

Anzhony Rodrigues

4.19 yellows/match · 37 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 17:00 UTC

Competition

Liga Portugal 2

Highlights & clips

SC Farense 4-3-3 · 3-4-3 Penafiel

97 F. Buntić 78 A. Pinto 44 N. Zolotić 37 G. Silva 6 D. Poloni ↑ 62' 27 Mattheus 15 J. N'Duquidi ↑ 46' 8 M. Menino ↑ 62' 17 A. Candeias ⚽1 9 G. Barbosa ↑ 46' 18 Cuba ↑ 46' 1 M. Oliveira 4 J. Miguel ↑ 83' 6 A. H. Pica 3 C. Silva 7 D. Borel 79 T. Teixeira ↑ 90' 21 P. Sá 2 I. Simão 50 F. Varela ↑ 46' 99 C. Mendes ↑ 82' 10 Davo ↑ 67'

Substitutes

1GJ. Tånnander 22DT. Herrero↓ 62' 3DL. D'Agrella 5DRodrigo 43DD. Miranda 29MC. Falcão↓ 46' 7MJ. Resende↓ 46' 10MS. Singh↓ 62' 70MV. Hugo 88MRafinha 11FN. Oliveira↓ 46' 19FL. d. Oliveira

Coach: José Faria

Substitutes

13GE. Puerto 28GT. O. Ribeiro 5DJ. Sánchez↓ 83' 14DJ. Meré 23DD. Oliveira 64DT. Sampaio 11MJ. Fuentes↓ 46' 17MJ. Pinto↓ 90' 85MC. Augusto 33FA. Schutte↓ 67' 9FM. Svensson↓ 82'

Coach: Jose Manuel Aira

Top stats

3.04Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.88

Discipline

4Yellow cards1

1Red cards0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Farense 47%

28%

Penafiel 25%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.14 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 76% · 1.28 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 28% · 2.38 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.51 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.25 @ 1xBet

1X2Farense to win 47% · 2.31 @ 1xBet

Who winsFarense to win (DNB) 58% · 1.47 @ Betano

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.93 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.25 @ William Hill

1X2Penafiel to win 25% · 4.06 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.95

SC Farense

3.20

Draw

3.60

Penafiel

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

SC Farense or Draw

1.29

SC Farense or Penafiel

1.76

Draw or Penafiel

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.85

Yes

1.85

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

8.80

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.25

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.05

Over 2.50

1.72

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.75

Over 3.50

1.25

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.00

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.43

SC Farense

2.60

Penafiel

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.26

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.41

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.83

Over 9.50

1.83

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.35

Over 10.50

1.52

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.22

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.61

SC Farense

2.10

Draw

4.33

Penafiel

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

2.30

SC Farense

2.37

Draw

4.00

Penafiel

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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