Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
S. Mané
13'
⚽S. Mané
13'
A. Al-Khaibari
24'
⚽J. Félix
assist A. Yahya
assist A. Yahya
25'
O. Al Soma
33'
A. Al-Dakheel
44'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁S. Al-Ghannam ◂ A. Yahya
46'
🔁S. A. Rashed ◂ A. Al-Harbi
46'
A. Al-Nakhli
48'
🔁E. Mokwana ◂ O. Al Soma
64'
🔁N. Al-Habashi ◂ F. Martins
64'
🔁M. Carvalho ◂ B. Y. Al-Sayyali
64'
🔁A. Al-Hassan ◂ Ângelo
72'
🔁Wesley ◂ J. Félix
72'
🔁A. Boutouil ◂ A. Al-Dakheel
81'
⚽C. Ronaldo
assist Wesley
assist Wesley
88'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
🔁A. Ghareeb ◂ S. Mané
90'+2
🔁A. Al-Amri ◂ K. Coman
90'+2
Coaches
Jorge Jesus 
Recent form
WAl-Okhdood1-2Al-Hazem
LAl-Hazem0-2Al-Ahli
DAl-Hazem0-0Al-Fateh
LAl-Shabab1-0Al-Hazem
DDamac FC1-1Al-Hazem
WAl-Nassr5-1Al-Fateh
WAl-Ittihad0-2Al-Nassr
WAl-Nassr5-1Al-Riyadh
WAl-Nassr2-0Al-Kholood
WAl-Taawoun0-5Al-Nassr
Match facts
Stadium
Alinma Stadium
City
Buraidah
Referee
Faisal Suleiman Al-Balawi
Kickoff
25 Oct, 18:00 UTC
14
B. Varela
6.7
13
A. Al-Shanqiti
6.6
4
S. Tanker
6.9
34
A. Al-Dakheel
6.3
82
A. Al-Harbi
6.3
6
B. Y. Al-Sayyali
6.6
32
R. Loreintz
6.7
27
A. Al-Nakhli
6.0
11
A. Saâyoud
6.6
9
O. Al-Somah
6.1
10
F. Martins
6.7
1
N. Al-Aqidi
7.1
12
N. Boushal
7.2
3
M. Simakan
7.9
26
I. Martínez
8.0
23
A. Yahya
8.1
21
K. Coman
6.8
20
Ângelo
7.5
17
A. Al-Khaibari
7.2
10
S. Mané
6.6
7
C. Ronaldo
6.9
79
J. Félix
7.1
37%Possession63%
0.07Expected goals (xG)1.51
3Total shots19
2Shots on target6
0Big chances2
1Corners10
14Fouls8
3Yellow cards2