Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 74%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 85% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 26%
Timeline
A. Al-Asmari
31'
⚽A. Lacazette
59'
🔁A. Saâyoud ◂ M. Carvalho
64'
🔁S. Al-Faraj ◂ A. Al-Hejji
71'
🔁Y. Al-Shammari ◂ A. Al-Shamrani
72'
⚽L. Rodríguez
88'
⚽A. Saâyoud (pen)
90'
Unknown
-5'
Coaches
Jalel KadriThierry Oleksiak 
Recent form
Al-HazemWAl-Riyadh1-2Al-Hazem
DAl-Fayha0-0Al-Hazem
WAl-Kholood1-2Al-Hazem
LAl-Hazem1-4Al-Khaleej
DAl-Ettifaq2-2Al-Hazem
Neom SCLNeom SC1-3Al-Ittihad
WNeom SC2-1Al-Najma SC
DAl-Taawoun1-1Neom SC
LNeom SC1-3Al-Nassr
WAl-Kholood2-3Neom SC
Match facts
Stadium
Al-Hazem Club Stadium
City
Ar Rass
Referee
Khalid Al-Ahmari
Kickoff
04 Jan, 15:05 UTC
53%Possession47%
1.75Expected goals (xG)1.04
12Total shots10
1Shots on target5
2Big chances3
2Corners3
14Fouls11
0Yellow cards1