Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 78%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 85% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 26%
Timeline
⚽S. Milinković-Savić
29'
⚽R. Neves
56'
🔁A. Saâyoud ◂ A. Bah
66'
🔁A. Al-Shanqiti ◂ A. Al-Dakheel
66'
🔁D. Núñez ◂ M. Leonardo
69'
🔁A. Al-Shamrani ◂ F. Martins
74'
🔁Y. Al-Shammari ◂ N. Al-Habashi
74'
🔁A. Darisi ◂ H. A. Yami
76'
🔁Kaio César ◂ S. Al-Dawsari
76'
🔁A. Al-Harajin ◂ M. Al-Yami
85'
🔁A. Lajami ◂ H. A. Tambakti
88'
🔁S. A. Muthary ◂ N. Al-Dawsari
88'
⚽D. Núñez
90'
Form
Al-Hilal
WWWWW
Al-Hazem
LWDWL
Match facts
Stadium
Kingdom Arena
City
Riyadh
Referee
Glenn Nyberg
Kickoff
08 Jan, 14:55 UTC
Al-Hilal
4-3-3
17
M. Al-Yami
6.1
88
H. A. Yami
7.2
87
H. A. Tambakti
6.9
4
Y. Akçiçek
7.3
16
N. Al-Dawsari
7.0
22
S. Milinković-Savić
⚽1
7.9
8
R. Neves
⚽1
10.0
28
M. Kanno
7.8
10
Malcom
7.7
9
M. Leonardo
5.5
29
S. Al-Dawsari
6.5
Substitutes
7
D. Núñez
7.3
14
A. Darisi
6.7
11
Kaio César
7.6
78
A. Lajami
44
S. A. Muthary
25
M. Patouillet
99
A. Al-Hamdan
39
M. Al-Zaid
Al-Hazem
5-4-1
14
B. Varela
6.5
5
M. Al-Yami
6.1
34
A. Al-Dakheel
6.7
4
S. Tanker
6.3
3
A. Boutouil
6.6
27
A. Al-Nakhli
6.0
24
A. Bah
6.4
32
R. Loreintz
6.5
6
B. Y. Al-Sayyali
6.3
10
F. Martins
6.7
19
N. Al-Habashi
6.5
Substitutes
13
A. Al-Shanqiti
6.6
11
A. Saâyoud
6.5
70
A. Al-Shamrani
6.4
7
Y. Al-Shammari
6.6
8
A. Al-Harajin
6.4
15
A. Al-Khaibary
23
I. Zaied
77
K. Alsubaie
17
E. Mokwana
Coach: Simone Inzaghi
Coach: Jalel Kadri
61%Possession39%
3.03Expected goals (xG)0.13
14Total shots6
7Shots on target1
5Big chances0
7Corners2
10Fouls7