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Henok Goitom
Degerfors IF
Djurgårdens IF
Degerfors IF
4-1-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
Djurgårdens IF
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
29'
S. Ohlsson · Foul
43'
⚽
B. Å. Hegland · assist K. S. Lien0–1
Half-time · 0–1
58'
🔁
A. Taranis ◂ R. Dzabic
65'
B. Å. Hegland · Simulation
66'
🔁
J. Asoro ◂ P. Åslund
67'
🔁
N. Žugelj ◂ J. Okkels
69'
🔁
Y. Gideon ◂ S. Ohlsson
69'
🔁
D. Vukojevic ◂ L. Fritzson
79'
🔁
P. Johansson ◂ M. Larsson
79'
🔁
C. Almyras ◂ B. Å. Hegland
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Henok GoitomJani Honkavaara 
Recent form
Degerfors IFLAHammarby IF0-4
LAVästerås SK0-2
LHMalmö FF0-1
WALillestrøm SK3-2
DHIF Brommapojkarna2-2
Djurgårdens IFDAÖrgryte IS0-0
WHHalmstads BK3-0
WABK Häcken4-2
DAIK Sirius1-1
LHIF Brommapojkarna1-2
Where to watch
Betano
TV4 Fotball
Match facts
Stadium
Stora Valla
City
Degerfors
Referee
Adam Ladeback
Kickoff
25 Jul, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Allsvenskan
Highlights & clips
Degerfors IF
4-1-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
Djurgårdens IF
38
M. Igonen
7.5
13
Y. Gideon
6.5
↑ 69'
2
A. Faqa
7.4
3
N. Skuseth
6.7
18
S. Diatara
6.7
4
K. Karlsson
7.0
22
N. G. Netabay
6.7
8
B. Hussein
7.4
20
E. Barsoum
7.0
11
D. Vukojevic
6.3
↑ 69'
17
A. Taranis
6.4
↑ 58'
35
J. Rinne
7.1
18
A. Stahl
7.4
5
M. Tenho
7.5
4
J. U. Larsson
7.5
2
P. Johansson
6.8
↑ 79'
14
H. Finndell
6.6
20
M. Siltanen
6.7
22
J. Asoro
6.7
↑ 66'
7
C. Almyras
6.8
↑ 79'
23
N. Žugelj
6.8
↑ 67'
9
K. S. Lien
6.8
Substitutes
1GW. Jakobsson
16DS. Ohlsson↓ 69'6.4
28DJ. Hernández
15DN. Moro
23MR. Dzabic↓ 58'6.8
21MA. Berisson
19MA. Lindgren
14FL. Fritzson↓ 69'6.5
27FZ. Salifu
Coach: Henok Goitom
Substitutes
45GF. Manojlović
24DM. Larsson↓ 79'6.8
21DM. Marques
19MJ. Okkels↓ 67'6.9
16MB. Å. Hegland↓ 79'6.8
8MP. Åslund↓ 66'6.7
28MA. Andersson
13MD. Stensson
17FA. Saeed
Coach: Jani Honkavaara
Top stats
58%Possession42%
1.03Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.24
12Total shots17
0Shots on target7
2Big chances3
6Corners6
Shots
8Shots off target7
4Blocked shots3
6Shots inside box8
6Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed2
Attack
30Touches in box23
72Final third entries57
0Offsides1
12Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
527Passes395
437Accurate passes320
26/66 (39%)Long balls30/60 (50%)
6/33 (18%)Crosses1/13 (8%)
13Throw-ins9
Duels
48Duels52
36/66 (55%)Ground duels30/66 (45%)
6/22 (27%)Aerial duels15/21 (71%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles8/22 (36%)
8Dispossessed6
Defending
20Tackles15
75Tackles won73
5Interceptions13
16Clearances39
53Recoveries53
Discipline
7Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
6Saves1
10Goal kicks15
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 37 bookmakers
Who winsDjurgården to win (DNB) 75% · 1.29 @ Novibet
1X2Djurgården to win 58% · 1.73 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 60% · 1.52 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.30 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 1.80 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.26 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 23% · 4.00 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.43 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 51% · 1.98 @ Unibet
1X2Degerfors to win 19% · 5.06 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.48
Degerfors IF ▼
3.68
Draw ▼
1.66
Djurgårdens IF ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
2.10
Degerfors IF or Draw ▼
1.23
Degerfors IF or Djurgårdens IF ▲
1.18
Draw or Djurgårdens IF ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▲
2.00
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▲
11.38
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.24
Over 1.50 ▲
3.95
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50 ▼
2.06
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.78
Over 3.50 ▼
1.42
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.15
Over 4.50 ▼
1.16
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
3.57
Degerfors IF ▼
1.24
Djurgårdens IF ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.00
Under 4.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50 ▲
11.00
Under 5.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50 ▲
8.43
Under 6.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.13
Over 7.50 ▲
4.95
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.27
Over 8.50 ▼
3.35
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.48
Over 9.50 ▼
2.44
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.80
Over 10.50 ▼
1.89
Under 10.50 ▲
1.1 – 1.8Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgården to win (DNB)Who wins | 75% | 75% | 1.24 | Overpriced | high |
| Djurgården to win1X2 | 58% | 58% | 1.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 62% | 1.5 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 71% | 72% | 1.28 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 56% | 56% | 1.68 | Overpriced | low |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 55% | 55% | 1.7 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 78% | 78% | 1.2 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 23% | 23% | 4.05 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 66% | 65% | 1.43 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 49% | 1.87 | Fair | low |
| Degerfors to win1X2 | 19% | 19% | 4.99 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 10.5 corners — we say 59%, they say 49%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 78% | 0% | No |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 54% | +2% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 30% | +4% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 53% | +2% | Yes |
| Home win | 19% | 43% | -24% | No |
| Draw | 23% | 22% | +1% | Yes |
| Away win | 58% | 34% | +24% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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