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Ulf Kristiansson
IF Brommapojkarna
Malmö FF
IF Brommapojkarna
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Malmö FF
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
32'
🔁
Busanello ◂ N. A. John
33'
M. W. Derbali · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
47'
B. Kurtulus · Foul
51'
⚽
S. Hakšabanović · assist A. Höög0–1
58'
J. Stryger Larsen · Foul
59'
🔁
S. M. Ngouali ◂ M. W. Derbali
63'
A. Duric · Foul
71'
🔁
A. Kurochkin ◂ D. Isso
71'
🔁
K. Sever ◂ O. Okeke
73'
🔁
I. Assibu ◂ A. Höög
73'
🔁
T. Lundbergh ◂ A. Skogmar
73'
🔁
J. Karlsson ◂ J. Stryger Larsen
77'
⚽
K. Sever · assist A. Kurochkin1–1
82'
Busanello · Foul
84'
🔁
D. Garcia ◂ B. Kurtulus
84'
🔁
L. Björklund ◂ O. Berg
84'
🔁
B. Amole ◂ S. Oppong
86'
⚽
D. Garcia · assist S. Hakšabanović1–2
Full-time · 1–2
90'+3
S. Hakšabanović · Argument
90'+3
S. M. Ngouali · Argument
Coaches
Ulf KristianssonGaute Helstrup 
Recent form
IF BrommapojkarnaDHHammarby IF1-1
LAIFK Göteborg1-2
LHIK Sirius1-2
DHGAIS1-1
LAKalmar FF0-2
Malmö FFLHIF Elfsborg1-2
DAKalmar FF2-2
WHIFK Göteborg4-0
WADegerfors IF1-0
DHFC Midtjylland2-2
Where to watch
Canal Gol Brazil
TV4 Sportkanalen
Match facts
Stadium
Grimsta IP
City
Stockholm
Referee
Oscar Johnson
Kickoff
02 Aug, 12:00 UTC
Competition
Allsvenskan
Highlights & clips
IF Brommapojkarna
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1
Malmö FF
1
L. Cavallius
7.3
16
S. Strand
6.8
23
J. Simpson
6.6
3
A. Troelsen
6.6
6
O. Zandén
6.2
27
K. Barslund
6.9
5
S. M. Ngouali
6.7
↑ 59'
14
K. Sever
7.5
↑ 71'
30
L. Björklund
6.4
↑ 84'
12
B. Amole
6.4
↑ 84'
17
A. Kurochkin
7.1
↑ 71'
1
R. Olsen
7.1
2
J. Karlsson
6.5
↑ 73'
5
A. Duric
6.9
9
D. Garcia
7.4
↑ 84'
25
Busanello
6.6
↑ 32'
7
O. Rosengren
6.5
47
T. Lundbergh
6.3
↑ 73'
40
K. Busuladzic
7.5
39
I. Assibu
6.5
↑ 73'
29
S. Hakšabanović
8.0
20
E. Botheim
5.6
Substitutes
25GD. Blažević
22DR. Bergvall
4DO. Cotton
33MS. Oppong↓ 84'6.7
10MO. Berg↓ 84'6.6
24MM. W. Derbali↓ 59'6.1
11MR. Örqvist
34FD. Isso↓ 71'7.6
7FO. Okeke↓ 71'6.5
Coach: Ulf Kristiansson
Top stats
37%Possession63%
1.61Expected goals (xG, estimated)2.26
11Total shots18
3Shots on target8
1Big chances1
4Corners4
Shots
3Shots off target5
5Blocked shots5
5Shots inside box11
6Shots outside box7
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
13Touches in box31
30Final third entries54
3Offsides3
21Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third4
Passing
358Passes620
299Accurate passes547
23/52 (44%)Long balls12/28 (43%)
3/10 (30%)Crosses2/7 (29%)
17Throw-ins26
Duels
54Duels46
39/75 (52%)Ground duels36/73 (49%)
4/5 (80%)Aerial duels1/6 (17%)
2/14 (14%)Dribbles3/9 (33%)
9Dispossessed8
Defending
16Tackles22
69Tackles won68
13Interceptions7
13Clearances10
33Recoveries41
Discipline
11Fouls21
2Yellow cards5
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
6Goal kicks6
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsMalmö to win (DNB) 59% · 1.65 @ betfair
CornersOver 9.5 corners 59% · 1.65 @ Interwetten
1X2Malmö to win 44% · 2.24 @ betfox
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.40 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 1.60 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 1.69 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.22 @ betfair
1X2Draw 26% · 3.90 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.55 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 52% · 1.90 @ Pinnacle
1X2BP to win 30% · 3.40 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.09
IF Brommapojkarna
3.53
Draw
2.12
Malmö FF
Double Chanceconsensus
1.66
IF Brommapojkarna or Draw
1.27
IF Brommapojkarna or Malmö FF
1.33
Draw or Malmö FF
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.50
Yes
2.40
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
13.52
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.45
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.60
Over 2.50
2.23
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.47
Over 3.50
1.49
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.40
Over 4.50 ▼
1.20
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
2.27
IF Brommapojkarna
1.57
Malmö FF
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
14.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
11.97
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
6.37
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.46
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50 ▼
3.02
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.57
Over 9.50 ▼
2.25
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.93
Over 10.50 ▲
1.77
Under 10.50 ▼
1.4 – 1.7Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malmö to win (DNB)Who wins | 59% | 59% | 1.57 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 59% | 59% | 1.57 | Overpriced | low |
| Malmö to win1X2 | 44% | 44% | 2.12 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 69% | 69% | 1.33 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 62% | 62% | 1.5 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 58% | 58% | 1.6 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 79% | 79% | 1.17 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 26% | 26% | 3.53 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 62% | 62% | 1.49 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 52% | 52% | 1.78 | Overpriced | low |
| BP to win1X2 | 30% | 30% | 3.09 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 10.5 corners — we say 61%, they say 52%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 78% | +1% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 54% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 30% | +8% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 62% | 53% | +9% | Yes |
| Home win | 30% | 43% | -13% | No |
| Draw | 26% | 22% | +4% | Yes |
| Away win | 44% | 34% | +10% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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