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Fredrik Holmberg
GAIS
Malmö FF
GAIS
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Malmö FF
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
67480 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
64.7%
-32.4 vs price
Home
210.0 · implied 0.5%
29.6%
+29.2 vs price
Draw
16.5 · implied 6.1%
5.7%
-0.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
46806 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.8%
-16.2 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
17.3%
+16.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
114 EUR
Under
1.18 · implied 84.7%
91.1%
+6.4 vs price
Over
6.8 · implied 14.7%
7.9%
-6.8 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
53'
⚽
F. Beckman0–1
57'
🔁
S. Salter ◂ N. Vasic
57'
🔁
H. Sletsjoe ◂ J. Fagerjord
60'
W. Milovanovic · Foul
65'
🔁
A. Höög ◂ D. Garcia
65'
🔁
T. Lundbergh ◂ A. Skogmar
70'
🔁
R. W. Thomasson ◂ M. d. Brienne
70'
🔁
S. Jørgensen ◂ M. Andersson
74'
🔁
B. Kurtulus ◂ M. Palsson
81'
🔁
D. Collander ◂ W. Milovanovic
81'
H. Sletsjoe · Argument
81'
T. Lundbergh · Argument
85'
J. Stryger Larsen · Foul
89'
🔁
A. Christiansen ◂ E. Botheim
Full-time · 0–1
90'+1
K. Busuladzic · Foul
90'+1
🔁
D. T. Gudjohnsen ◂ S. Hakšabanović
Coaches
Fredrik HolmbergGaute Helstrup 
Recent form
GAISWAHalmstads BK2-0
LAFC Nordsjælland0-6
DHHalmstads BK1-1
WHFC Nordsjælland1-0
LAAIK0-2
Malmö FFLHDegerfors IF1-2
WAIF Brommapojkarna2-1
LHIF Elfsborg1-2
DAKalmar FF2-2
WHIFK Göteborg4-0
Match facts
Stadium
Gamla Ullevi
City
Gothenburg
Kickoff
16 Aug, 14:30 UTC
Competition
Allsvenskan
Highlights & clips
GAIS
4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Malmö FF
1
M. Krasniqi
6.8
6
A. Wängberg
7.7
4
O. Ågren
7.6
24
F. Beckman
6.2
5
R. W. Thomasson
6.7
↑ 70'
34
D. Collander
6.8
↑ 81'
10
H. Sletsjoe
6.5
↑ 57'
17
R. F. Thorkelsson
6.9
14
S. Jørgensen
6.6
↑ 70'
20
S. Salter
6.6
↑ 57'
11
R. Niklasson
7.3
1
R. Olsen
8.2
17
J. Stryger Larsen
7.4
5
A. Duric
7.5
4
B. Kurtulus
7.8
↑ 74'
25
Busanello
7.1
40
K. Busuladzic
7.0
7
O. Rosengren
7.2
47
T. Lundbergh
6.6
↑ 65'
45
A. Höög
6.7
↑ 65'
10
A. Christiansen
↑ 89'
32
D. T. Gudjohnsen
↑ 90'
Substitutes
30GA. Tihic
2DM. d. Brienne↓ 70'6.4
12DR. Frej
22DA. Cardaklija
7MJ. Fagerjord↓ 57'7.5
8MW. Milovanovic↓ 81'6.5
16MM. Andersson↓ 70'6.2
21FN. Vasic↓ 57'6.5
32FO. Pettersson
Coach: Fredrik Holmberg
Substitutes
27GJ. Dahlin
44DM. Palsson↓ 74'7.1
2DJ. Karlsson
29MS. Hakšabanović↓ 90'7.1
37MA. Skogmar↓ 65'6.4
28MJ. Milosavljević
9FD. Garcia↓ 65'6.6
20FE. Botheim↓ 89'5.6
39FI. Assibu
Coach: Gaute Helstrup
Top stats
51%Possession49%
1.28Expected goals (xG)0.22
14Total shots5
6Shots on target1
8Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target2
4Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box2
6Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
39Touches in box13
80Final third entries87
3Offsides1
20Free kicks12
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
443Passes431
362Accurate passes355
27/57 (47%)Long balls36/78 (46%)
9/37 (24%)Crosses1/20 (5%)
32Throw-ins16
Duels
54Duels46
31/65 (48%)Ground duels34/65 (52%)
17/24 (71%)Aerial duels7/24 (29%)
5/11 (45%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)
12Dispossessed2
Defending
7Tackles18
100Tackles won83
6Interceptions12
26Clearances44
35Recoveries32
Discipline
12Fouls20
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
4Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 58% · 1.67 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.36 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 1.60 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 1.71 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.24 @ betfair
1X2Draw 26% · 2.78 @ efbet.net
1X2Malmö to win 32% · 3.23 @ efbet.net
Who winsGAIS to win (DNB) 56% · 1.72 @ merkurxtip
1X2GAIS to win 42% · 2.66 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.06 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.24
GAIS ▲
3.53
Draw
2.88
Malmö FF ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.38
GAIS or Draw
1.27
GAIS or Malmö FF ▼
1.60
Draw or Malmö FF
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.53
Yes
2.36
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.22
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.18
Over 1.50
4.29
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.63
Over 2.50
2.19
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.54
Over 3.50 ▼
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.65
Over 4.50 ▲
1.18
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.63
GAIS
2.13
Malmö FF ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
13.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
12.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.04
Over 6.50
6.95
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.70
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.32
Over 8.50
3.07
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.56
Over 9.50
2.28
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.90
Over 10.50 ▼
1.79
Under 10.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.9%.
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