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Karl Marius Aksum
Mjällby AIF
IK Sirius
Mjällby AIF
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
IK Sirius
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
257405 EUR · live
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
60.6%
+60.5 vs price
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
26.2%
-71.8 vs price
Draw
55.0 · implied 1.8%
13.2%
+11.3 vs price
Half time
402 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
61.3%
-37.7 vs price
Home
410.0 · implied 0.2%
23.9%
+23.7 vs price
Draw
42.0 · implied 2.4%
14.7%
+12.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24814 EUR · live
Under
8.6 · implied 11.6%
63.2%
+51.6 vs price
Over
1.13 · implied 88.5%
36.8%
-51.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2487 EUR · live
Under
1.94 · implied 51.5%
71.3%
+19.7 vs price
Over
2.06 · implied 48.5%
28.7%
-19.9 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
O. Liimatta0–1
9'
M. Heier · Foul
24'
⚽
O. Liimatta0–2
26'
🔁
A. Ljungberg ◂ O. Liimatta
27'
J. Bergström · Foul
34'
⚽
I. Bjerkebo0–3
39'
O. Krusnell · Foul
Half-time · 0–3
46'
⚽
O. Lindberg · assist M. Nielsen1–3
46'
🔁
T. Miettinen ◂ L. Svanberg
46'
🔁
O. Lindberg ◂ I. Hoffmann
46'
🔁
M. Nielsen ◂ V. Granath
50'
T. Anker · Foul
53'
T. Miettinen · Time wasting
54'
⚽
J. Bergström · assist Á. Samuelsen2–3
58'
🔁
C. Nilden ◂ V. Svensson
58'
🔁
J. Persson ◂ N. Milleskog
76'
🔁
A. Youssef ◂ J. Kjaer
77'
⚽
J. Bergström · assist Á. Samuelsen3–3
83'
🔁
O. S. Adindu ◂ I. Bjerkebo
84'
🔁
L. Tidstrand ◂ Á. Samuelsen
87'
⚽
O. Lindberg · assist M. Nielsen4–3
Full-time · 4–3
Coaches
Karl Marius AksumAndreas Engelmark 
Recent form
Mjällby AIFLAŠK Slovan Bratislava0-2
LHIF Elfsborg0-1
LHŠK Slovan Bratislava1-2
DALincoln Red Imps0-0
LAKalmar FF1-2
IK SiriusDHIF Brommapojkarna2-2
WAHalmstads BK2-0
WHIFK Göteborg4-1
WAIF Elfsborg3-1
WAIF Brommapojkarna2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Strandvallen
City
Hallevik
Kickoff
15 Aug, 13:00 UTC
Competition
Allsvenskan
Highlights & clips
Mjällby AIF
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
IK Sirius
13
R. Wallinder
5.8
5
A. Iqbal
5.9
25
M. Nielsen
7.3
↑ 46'
24
T. Pettersson
7.0
33
T. Miettinen
6.7
↑ 46'
22
J. Gustavsson
6.8
7
V. Gustafson
6.4
29
O. Lindberg
9.0
↑ 46'
9
A. Youssef
6.5
↑ 76'
18
J. Bergström
8.8
27
L. Tidstrand
6.8
↑ 84'
34
D. Celic
4.9
5
H. Castegren
6.1
2
M. Soumah
6.1
4
T. Anker
5.6
22
O. Krusnell
5.8
21
C. Nilden
6.4
↑ 58'
10
M. Heier
6.0
6
M. Lindberg
7.4
7
J. Persson
6.4
↑ 58'
36
A. Ljungberg
6.6
↑ 26'
25
O. S. Adindu
6.5
↑ 83'
Substitutes
35GA. Lundin
26DI. Hoffmann↓ 46'6.7
2DL. Svanberg↓ 46'5.2
4DA. Norén
14MV. Granath↓ 46'6.5
39MR. Leandersson
3MM. Agnarsson
23FÁ. Samuelsen↓ 84'7.7
10FJ. Kjaer↓ 76'7.0
Coach: Karl Marius Aksum
Substitutes
1GI. Diawara
15DS. Sandberg
20DV. Ekström
16MO. Liimatta↓ 26'9.1
11MI. Bjerkebo↓ 83'8.0
24MV. Svensson↓ 58'6.5
19MN. Milleskog↓ 58'6.1
18MA. Wikman
23FF. Neat
Coach: Andreas Engelmark
Top stats
53%Possession47%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
14Total shots18
6Shots on target5
3Big chances3
7Corners8
Shots
5Shots off target6
3Blocked shots7
10Shots inside box13
4Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored3
Attack
33Touches in box29
58Final third entries55
0Offsides3
11Free kicks10
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
412Passes377
333Accurate passes299
31/62 (50%)Long balls18/62 (29%)
6/21 (29%)Crosses3/8 (38%)
18Throw-ins14
Duels
46Duels54
29/63 (46%)Ground duels34/63 (54%)
9/19 (47%)Aerial duels10/19 (53%)
5/17 (29%)Dribbles5/13 (38%)
8Dispossessed5
Defending
13Tackles20
62Tackles won70
8Interceptions9
18Clearances24
43Recoveries42
Discipline
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
8Goal kicks11
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
Who winsSirius to win (DNB) 60% · 1.68 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 1.98 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.62 @ Unibet
1X2Sirius to win 45% · 2.55 @ fonbet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 71% · 1.37 @ Interwetten
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.62 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.75 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.24 @ betfair
1X2Draw 26% · 2.79 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.07 @ fanatics
1X2Mjällby to win 29% · 3.62 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.98
Mjällby AIF
3.50
Draw
2.21
IK Sirius
Double Chanceconsensus
1.61
Mjällby AIF or Draw
1.27
Mjällby AIF or IK Sirius
1.34
Draw or IK Sirius
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.54
Yes
2.32
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.06
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50
2.15
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.58
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.70
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.18
Mjällby AIF
1.62
IK Sirius
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
15.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.06
Over 6.50
7.40
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
4.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.30
Over 8.50
3.19
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50
2.35
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.87
Over 10.50
1.83
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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