Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Malmö's back-to-back wins at home meet AIK's white-hot form — this is a proper statement game for Swedish football** 🔥 The hosts have momentum but can't afford to slip up against a side that's been absolutely clinical in attack lately.
Malmö are rolling domestically and have a strong home record against AIK historically, but they're without key defenders and can't afford defensive lapses. AIK have won three of their last five and scored 10 goals in their last three — they're coming in sharp and hungry.
Key storylines:
- **Malmö's injury crisis** at the back (Christiansen, Ekong, Sjöstrand all sidelined) means defensive stability will be tested against AIK's lethal front three
- **AIK's attacking tempo** — Filling, Andersson, and Carlstrand have been devastating; they'll probe Malmö's makeshift backline relentlessly
- **Home advantage tilts Malmö's way** in a historically lopsided H2H (15 wins to AIK's 6), but form suggests this is closer than usual
Expected lineups:
- **Malmö FF**: R. Olsen, Busanello, A. Duric, M. Palsson, J. Stryger Larsen, J. Milosavljević, A. Skogmar, O. Rosengren, S. Hakšabanović, E. Botheim, A. Höög
- **AIK**: K. Nordfeldt, L. Bergquist, H. Matthys, A. Mujanić, W. Olofsson, Y. Geiger, J. Hove, A. Ali, V. Andersson, K. Filling, L. Carlstrand
Prediction:
**Malmö 2–2 AIK**. Both sides have the talent to score freely; AIK's bite in front of goal and Malmö's defensive fragility make a draw feel like the play here.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.