Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Mjällby are in freefall, but Göteborg's missing four players could level the chaos.** This one's a coin flip between a sinking ship and an undermanned visitor. 🎭
Mjällby have leaked 9 goals in their last three matches and look completely shattered after those Djurgårdens hammerings. Göteborg, though, are arriving without two key defenders (Mucolli out, A. B. Wiberg suspended) plus illness woes — they'll be patched together at the back.
Key storylines:
- **Mjällby's attack needs a lifeline**: J. Bergström and Á. Samuelsen have to find space against a vulnerable Göteborg rearguard, or this becomes embarrassing at home.
- **Göteborg's backline is held together with tape**: H. Hermannsson, R. Yeboah, and N. Tolf will be overworked; one lapse and Mjällby punish them.
- **Midfield battle decides it**: V. Granath and V. Gustafson have to control tempo for the hosts or S. Larsson and D. Kruse run the show.
Expected lineups:
- **Mjällby AIF**: R. Wallinder, A. Norén, A. Iqbal, T. Pettersson, M. Agnarsson, V. Granath, V. Gustafson, M. Enggård, Á. Samuelsen, J. Bergström, J. Kjaer
- **IFK Göteborg**: V. Andersson, N. Tolf, H. Hermannsson, R. Yeboah, F. Eriksson, S. Larsson, D. Kruse, F. Ottosson, T. Heintz, S. Clemmensen, T. Coimbra
Prediction:
**1-1 draw**. Both sides are wounded; neither escapes clean.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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