Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**AIK are rolling at home and Västerås walk in wounded** — the hosts haven't dropped points in three straight and look primed to extend their unbeaten run. 🔥
AIK's form is **seriously sharp** (3W 1D in their last four), while Västerås are inconsistent and arriving without key defender F. Nsabiyumva. The head-to-head tells the story too — AIK 3 wins, Västerås 0 in their last four clashes.
Key storylines:
- **AIK's attacking depth** keeps firing — 3-2 over Hammarby then 3-1 away at Djurgården shows they're clinical in both boxes
- **Västerås' defensive holes** with Nsabiyumva out on foot injury; expect AIK's L. Assadi and S. Gustafsson to find space
- **Home fortress vibes** — Strawberry Arena favors AIK, who thrive here and haven't been breached in their last home win
Expected lineups:
- **AIK**: K. Nordfeldt, H. Matthys, L. Bergquist, W. Olofsson, C. Pavey, J. Hove, A. Ali, Y. Geiger, L. Carlstrand, S. Gustafsson, L. Assadi
- **Västerås SK**: E. Jäger, H. Magnusson, P. Bonde, J. Tagesson, M. Keita, S. Gefvert, M. Diagne, M. Hellisdal, A. Boudah, B. Lendambi, K. Gunnarsson
Prediction:
**AIK 2–0 Västerås SK**. Home edge, superior form, and Västerås' injury woes hand this to the hosts.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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