Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Elfsborg are rolling, and Kalmar are in a rut.** This is the kind matchup where form tells the whole story — one side's clicking, the other's barely clicking at all. 🔥
Elfsborg have won three of their last five and look genuinely dangerous at home. Kalmar, meanwhile, are 0 wins in their last five games and leaking goals left and right. The hosts should be heavy favorites here.
Key storylines:
- **IF Elfsborg's attacking depth**: With F. Ihler, M. I. Kamara, and L. Östman all fit and firing, they've got multiple ways to break down a fragile Kalmar backline.
- **Kalmar's defensive collapse**: Only one draw in their last five tells you everything — they can't hold it together without J. Kindberg, and even then they're struggling.
- **Home advantage at Borås Arena**: Elfsborg's won recently on their patch and will expect to dominate possession against a side that's lost confidence.
Expected lineups:
- **IF Elfsborg**: I. Pettersson, N. Hult, T. Isherwood, R. Wikström, A. Jensen, J. Beck, J. Magnusson, A. Zeneli
- **Kalmar FF**: S. Brolin, S. E. Overby, L. Saetra, A. Keita, V. Larsson, C. Sagoe Jr., R. Gojani, M. Hallberg
Prediction:
**Elfsborg 2–0 Kalmar** — the gap in form is just too wide. Elfsborg should be in control from kickoff.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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