Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 53%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 83% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 23%
Timeline
⚽D. Tijanič
8'
N. A. Haleel
26'
S. Tanker
42'
⚽R. Al-Tulayhi
43'
A. Boutouil
47'
⚽A. Saâyoud
58'
🔁E. Mokwana ◂ S. A. Rashed
60'
🔁A. Alshamary ◂ R. Al-Tulayhi
65'
🔁A. A. Harabi ◂ A. Jasim
75'
🔁M. Carvalho ◂ F. Martins
75'
A. Saâyoud
81'
🔁H. Al-Dubais ◂ V. Vargas
82'
🔁N. Al-Hawsawi ◂ B. Boutobba
82'
⚽Y. Al-Shammari
90'
⚽A. Saâyoud
90'
Coaches
Nestor El Maestro 
Recent form
LAl-Hilal3-0Al-Hazem
LAl-Hazem1-2Neom SC
WAl-Riyadh1-2Al-Hazem
DAl-Fayha0-0Al-Hazem
WAl-Kholood1-2Al-Hazem
LAl-Najma SC3-4Al-Ettifaq
DAl-Najma SC2-2Al-Khaleej
LAl-Taawoun1-0Al-Najma SC
LNeom SC2-1Al-Najma SC
DDamac FC0-0Al-Najma SC
Match facts
Stadium
Al-Hazem Club Stadium
City
Ar Rass
Referee
Majed Mohammed Al-Shamrani
Kickoff
12 Jan, 15:10 UTC
14
B. Varela
7.0
2
S. A. Rashed
6.4
4
S. Tanker
6.4
3
A. Boutouil
6.8
27
A. Al-Nakhli
6
B. Y. Al-Sayyali
7.0
32
R. Loreintz
7.2
11
A. Saâyoud
9.0
10
F. Martins
6.3
19
N. Al-Habashi
6.8
7
Y. Al-Shammari
7.4
1
V. Braga
5.6
24
A. Al-Hawsawi
5.9
4
N. A. Haleel
5.7
3
S. Caetano
6.1
2
V. Vargas
6.4
20
D. Flores
7.5
98
B. Boutobba
6.5
23
R. Al-Tulayhi
7.9
43
D. Tijanič
7.5
14
A. Jasim
6.4
7
Lázaro
6.4
Substitutes
17E. Mokwana7.080M. Carvalho7.423I. Zaied5M. Al-Yami8A. Al-Harajin70A. Al-Shamrani13A. Al-Shanqiti24A. Bah34A. Al-Dakheel
Coach: Jalel Kadri
Substitutes
8A. Alshamary6.518A. A. Harabi6.550N. Al-Hawsawi6.177H. Al-Dubais6.522K. A. Muqiatyb15A. A. Najjar55A. Al-Nakhli17M. M. Mile19F. A. Abdulrazzaq
Coach: Nestor El Maestro
61%Possession39%
2.69Expected goals (xG)1.22
25Total shots6
7Shots on target6
3Big chances2
8Corners3
16Fouls15
4Yellow cards1