Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Hammarby's dominance in this Stockholm derby is almost unfair** — they've won 16 of the last 27 meetings, and this weekend they're rolling 🔥
Both teams are in form, but Hammarby's cushion at home is serious. Djurgårdens have lost only once in five, yet the away record in this fixture tells the real story. Hammarby without A. Boudri and S. Koné in defense is the main wrinkle, though they've still managed clean sheets recently.
Key storylines:
- **Hammarby's home fortress** in the derby — 16 wins in 27 h2h clashes is a psychological edge that never quite fades
- **Djurgårdens' uptick in form** (4W in last 5) means they'll test the Hammarby back line early, but away woes in this fixture run deep
- **Missing bodies**: Hammarby without Boudri and Koné forces a reshuffle at the back; Djurgårdens arrive healthy and hungry
Expected lineups:
- **Hammarby IF**: W. Hahn, O. S. Brånby, F. Winther, I. Fofana, H. Skoglund, M. Karlsson, F. J. Adjei, V. Lind, N. Besara, P. Abraham
- **Djurgårdens IF**: J. Rinne, M. Larsson, J. U. Larsson, M. Tenho, A. Stahl, M. Siltanen, D. Stensson, J. Okkels, K. S. Lien, B. Å. Hegland
Prediction:
**Hammarby 2–1 Djurgårdens**. History favors the hosts; Djurgårdens keep it tight but can't overcome the derby curse.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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