Mjällby AIF 1-1 Degerfors IF: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Mjällby AIF 1-1 Degerfors IF.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

89'

D. Vukojevic

Attempt missed. D. Vukojevic (Degerfors IF), left-footed shot. xG 0.26.

87'

Á. Samuelsen

Substitution, Mjällby AIF: M. Enggård comes on for Á. Samuelsen.

86'

N. G. Netabay

Substitution, Degerfors IF: E. Barsoum comes on for N. G. Netabay.

81'

D. Vukojevic

Attempt missed. D. Vukojevic (Degerfors IF), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

81'

T. Miettinen

Substitution, Mjällby AIF: A. Norén comes on for T. Miettinen.

78'

R. Dzabic

Attempt blocked. R. Dzabic (Degerfors IF), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

77'

Degerfors IF

Corner, Degerfors IF.

77'

A. Taranis

Substitution, Degerfors IF: D. Vukojevic comes on for A. Taranis.

76'

Á. Samuelsen

Attempt saved. Á. Samuelsen (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

75'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

73'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

73'

J. Bergström

Attempt blocked. J. Bergström (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

72'

N. Milleskog

Substitution, Degerfors IF: R. Dzabic comes on for N. Milleskog.

72'

S. Ohlsson

Substitution, Degerfors IF: S. Diatara comes on for S. Ohlsson.

70'

J. Bergström

Attempt blocked. J. Bergström (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.33.

70'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

68'

M. Nielsen

Attempt blocked. M. Nielsen (Mjällby AIF), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

67'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

64'

J. Kjaer

Substitution, Mjällby AIF: O. Lindberg comes on for J. Kjaer.

63'

Degerfors IF

Offside, Degerfors IF.

62'

Degerfors IF

Corner, Degerfors IF.

60'

N. G. Netabay

Attempt missed. N. G. Netabay (Degerfors IF), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

56'

J. Kjaer

Goal! Mjällby AIF 1-1 Degerfors IF. J. Kjaer (Mjällby AIF) scores.

55'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

52'

A. Taranis

Goal! Mjällby AIF 0-1 Degerfors IF. A. Taranis (Degerfors IF) scores.

48'

Degerfors IF

Offside, Degerfors IF.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Mjällby AIF 0-0 Degerfors IF.

45+4'

B. Hussein

Attempt missed. B. Hussein (Degerfors IF), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.22.

45+4'

Degerfors IF

Corner, Degerfors IF.

45+1'

Degerfors IF

Corner, Degerfors IF.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

J. Bergström

Attempt blocked. J. Bergström (Mjällby AIF), header. xG 0.10.

41'

T. Pettersson

Attempt blocked. T. Pettersson (Mjällby AIF), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

31'

J. Bergström

Attempt saved. J. Bergström (Mjällby AIF), header. xG 0.09.

30'

N. Milleskog

Attempt saved. N. Milleskog (Degerfors IF), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

29'

Á. Samuelsen

Attempt missed. Á. Samuelsen (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

26'

J. Kjaer

Attempt saved. J. Kjaer (Mjällby AIF), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

26'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

17'

M. Nielsen

Attempt saved. M. Nielsen (Mjällby AIF), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

16'

T. Miettinen

Attempt blocked. T. Miettinen (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

8'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

8'

J. Kjaer

Attempt blocked. J. Kjaer (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

3'

Degerfors IF

Corner, Degerfors IF.

1'

N. Milleskog

Attempt missed. N. Milleskog (Degerfors IF), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Mjällby AIF vs Degerfors IF.

Where the money is

109282 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 33814 EUR · live

Draw 1.04 · implied 96.2%

56.2%

-40.0 vs price

Home 21.0 · implied 4.8%

32.1%

+27.3 vs price

Away 26.0 · implied 3.8%

11.7%

+7.9 vs price

Half time 1145 EUR · live

Home 7.0 · implied 14.3%

54.4%

+40.1 vs price

Draw 1.27 · implied 78.7%

35.5%

-43.3 vs price

Away 15.0 · implied 6.7%

10.0%

+3.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 43875 EUR · live

Under 1.02 · implied 98.0%

63.2%

-34.8 vs price

Over 15.0 · implied 6.7%

36.8%

+30.1 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

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Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

52' ⚽ A. Taranis0–1

56' ⚽ J. Kjaer1–1

64' 🔁 O. Lindberg ◂ J. Kjaer

72' 🔁 S. Diatara ◂ S. Ohlsson

72' 🔁 R. Dzabic ◂ N. Milleskog

77' 🔁 D. Vukojevic ◂ A. Taranis

81' 🔁 A. Norén ◂ T. Miettinen

86' 🔁 E. Barsoum ◂ N. G. Netabay

87' 🔁 M. Enggård ◂ Á. Samuelsen

Full-time · 1–1

Coaches

Andreas Brannstorm

Henok Goitom

Recent form

Mjällby AIF

LHGAIS0-3

DAAIK1-1

DABK Häcken1-1

LHIFK Göteborg1-4

LHDjurgårdens IF0-2

Degerfors IF

DAIK Brage1-1

LHHammarby IF0-1

LAIK Sirius0-2

WHHalmstads BK2-0

LAIF Elfsborg0-2

About this match

**Mjällby are heavy home favorites here** — they've absolutely dominated this fixture historically, and Degerfors arrive in rough form. 🔴

Both teams are limping through their last five, but Mjällby at least have the Strandvallen cushion and a **8-0-1 head-to-head record** that screams doom for visitors. Degerfors have lost three of their last five and are missing key players; Mjällby have won their last eight against them.

Key storylines:

- **Mjällby's home fortress** remains unbeaten in recent derbies — Degerfors simply don't have the firepower to break that curse
- **Degerfors' defensive frailty** (0-1 to Hammarby, 0-2 to Sirius) will be exposed by **J. Bergström** and the Mjällby front three
- **T. Stavitski** sidelined with a back injury leaves Mjällby thinner, but **A. Iqbal** and the midfield spine should dominate possession

Expected lineups:

- **Mjällby AIF**: R. Wallinder, A. Iqbal, A. Norén, M. Nielsen, V. Granath, V. Gustafson, J. Bergström, A. Youssef
- **Degerfors IF**: M. Igonen, N. Skuseth, A. Faqa, S. Ohlsson, B. Hussein, D. Vukojevic, A. Taranis

Prediction:

**Mjällby AIF 2–0 Degerfors IF** — the home side lean on elite familiarity and Degerfors' leaky defense. Expect control rather than chaos.

Where to watch

VG TV

Match facts

Stadium

Strandvallen

City

Hallevik

Referee

Adam Ladeback

3.20 yellows/match · 51 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Competition

Allsvenskan

Mjällby AIF 3-4-3 · 5-3-2 Degerfors IF

35 A. Lundin 7.6 4 A. Norén 7.0 ↑ 81' 5 A. Iqbal 7.1 24 T. Pettersson 7.9 25 M. Nielsen 6.4 7 V. Gustafson 7.0 22 J. Gustavsson 7.3 14 V. Granath 6.7 29 O. Lindberg 6.2 ↑ 64' 18 J. Bergström 6.2 6 M. Enggård ↑ 87' 38 M. Igonen 7.1 6 D. Sundgren 7.5 3 N. Skuseth 8.2 2 A. Faqa 7.3 13 Y. Gideon 7.1 18 S. Diatara 6.8 ↑ 72' 23 R. Dzabic 7.1 ↑ 72' 8 B. Hussein 7.4 20 E. Barsoum 6.5 ↑ 86' 11 D. Vukojevic 6.5 ↑ 77' 14 L. Fritzson 7.2

Substitutes

1GS. Hansen 33DT. Miettinen↓ 81'7.1 26DI. Hoffmann 27DL. Tidstrand 2DL. Svanberg 39MR. Leandersson 3MM. Agnarsson 10FJ. Kjaer↓ 64'8.5 23FÁ. Samuelsen↓ 87'6.8

Coach: Andreas Brannstorm

Substitutes

1GW. Jakobsson 16DS. Ohlsson↓ 72' 28DJ. Hernández 15DN. Moro 7DS. Ohlsson 10MN. Milleskog↓ 72'7.6 22MN. G. Netabay↓ 86'6.6 17FA. Taranis↓ 77'7.2

Coach: Henok Goitom

Top stats

57%Possession43%

1.31Expected goals (xG, estimated)0.73

13Total shots8

5Shots on target2

2Big chances0

7Corners5

Shots

1Shots off target5

7Blocked shots1

11Shots inside box3

2Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork0

2Big chances missed0

Attack

44Touches in box19

85Final third entries55

0Offsides2

16Free kicks14

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

471Passes363

387Accurate passes263

28/63 (44%)Long balls28/74 (38%)

10/30 (33%)Crosses8/18 (44%)

29Throw-ins25

Duels

47Duels53

43/96 (45%)Ground duels53/96 (55%)

19/35 (54%)Aerial duels16/35 (46%)

11/25 (44%)Dribbles11/18 (61%)

14Dispossessed9

Defending

16Tackles28

88Tackles won71

12Interceptions14

20Clearances34

42Recoveries41

Discipline

14Fouls16

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves4

7Goal kicks8

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Mjällby 49%

27%

Degerfors 24%

Who winsMjällby to win (DNB) 68% · 1.37 @ Betano

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.73 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.43 @ 1xBet

1X2Mjällby to win 49% · 2.25 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.18 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 27% · 2.53 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.40 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.36 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.10 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle

1X2Degerfors to win 24% · 4.25 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.83

Mjällby AIF

3.52

Draw

4.00

Degerfors IF

Double Chanceconsensus

1.22

Mjällby AIF or Draw

1.27

Mjällby AIF or Degerfors IF

1.91

Draw or Degerfors IF

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

1.98

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

10.40

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.69

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.88

Over 2.50

1.90

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.20

Over 3.50

1.30

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.38

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.35

Mjällby AIF

2.95

Degerfors IF

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.22

Over 7.50

3.60

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.43

Over 8.50

2.55

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.67

Over 9.50

2.12

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.06

Over 10.50

1.70

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.60

Over 11.50

1.44

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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