AIK 2-2 IFK Göteborg: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 17, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. AIK 2-2 IFK Göteborg.

90+6'

S. Larsson

Yellow card for S. Larsson (IFK Göteborg) for argument.

90+2'

L. Järeteg

Attempt missed. L. Järeteg (AIK), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

90+2'

F. Eriksson

Substitution, IFK Göteborg: E. Fasth comes on for F. Eriksson.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

AIK

Corner, AIK.

87'

W. Olofsson

Substitution, AIK: H. Matthys comes on for W. Olofsson.

86'

L. Assadi

Substitution, AIK: Y. Geiger comes on for L. Assadi.

83'

K. Ackermann

Attempt missed. K. Ackermann (IFK Göteborg), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

82'

IFK Göteborg

Corner, IFK Göteborg.

82'

T. Heintz

Substitution, IFK Göteborg: I. Seidu comes on for T. Heintz.

75'

A. Kouame

Goal! AIK 2-2 IFK Göteborg. A. Kouame (AIK) scores, assisted by J. Hove.

74'

IFK Göteborg

Offside, IFK Göteborg.

71'

T. Ayari

Substitution, AIK: L. Järeteg comes on for T. Ayari.

71'

L. Bergquist

Substitution, AIK: S. Wilson comes on for L. Bergquist.

68'

A. Simmelhack

Goal! AIK 1-2 IFK Göteborg. A. Simmelhack (IFK Göteborg) scores, assisted by F. Eriksson.

65'

K. Ackermann

Attempt blocked. K. Ackermann (IFK Göteborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.40.

65'

IFK Göteborg

Corner, IFK Göteborg.

62'

J. Hove

Attempt missed. J. Hove (AIK), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.09.

59'

L. Carlstrand

Substitution, AIK: S. Gustafsson comes on for L. Carlstrand.

59'

AIK

Corner, AIK.

58'

O. Mansson

Attempt missed. O. Mansson (IFK Göteborg), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

58'

IFK Göteborg

Corner, IFK Göteborg.

57'

A. Simmelhack

Attempt saved. A. Simmelhack (IFK Göteborg), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

56'

T. Ayari

Off the woodwork! T. Ayari (AIK), right-footed shot. xG 0.78.

56'

A. Ali

Attempt missed. A. Ali (AIK), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

52'

A. Simmelhack

Attempt missed. A. Simmelhack (IFK Göteborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

48'

O. Mansson

Attempt missed. O. Mansson (IFK Göteborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

47'

N. Tolf

Attempt saved. N. Tolf (IFK Göteborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

46'

N. Žugelj

Substitution, IFK Göteborg: K. Ackermann comes on for N. Žugelj.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. AIK 1-1 IFK Göteborg.

44'

A. Simmelhack

Attempt missed. A. Simmelhack (IFK Göteborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

43'

S. Larsson

Attempt blocked. S. Larsson (IFK Göteborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

41'

N. Tolf

Attempt blocked. N. Tolf (IFK Göteborg), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

36'

W. Olofsson

Attempt missed. W. Olofsson (AIK), header from a corner. xG 0.14.

36'

D. Tomas

Goal! AIK 1-1 IFK Göteborg. D. Tomas (AIK) scores, assisted by W. Olofsson.

35'

AIK

Corner, AIK.

35'

A. Ali

Attempt blocked. A. Ali (AIK), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

27'

N. Žugelj

Goal! AIK 0-1 IFK Göteborg. N. Žugelj (IFK Göteborg) scores, assisted by A. Simmelhack.

26'

T. Ayari

Attempt saved. T. Ayari (AIK), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

23'

IFK Göteborg

Offside, IFK Göteborg.

21'

AIK

Offside, AIK.

19'

F. Eriksson

Attempt saved. F. Eriksson (IFK Göteborg), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

19'

IFK Göteborg

Corner, IFK Göteborg.

17'

N. Žugelj

Attempt missed. N. Žugelj (IFK Göteborg), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

16'

A. Kouame

Attempt missed. A. Kouame (AIK), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

13'

L. Assadi

Attempt blocked. L. Assadi (AIK), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

12'

T. Ayari

Attempt blocked. T. Ayari (AIK), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

1'

Kick-off: AIK vs IFK Göteborg.

Where the money is

194465 EUR matched · captured 4 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 94610 EUR · live

Away 23.0 · implied 4.3%

44.0%

+39.6 vs price

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

31.8%

-63.4 vs price

Home 19.5 · implied 5.1%

24.2%

+19.1 vs price

Half time 100 EUR · live

Draw 2.38 · implied 42.0%

64.3%

+22.3 vs price

Home 3.3 · implied 30.3%

25.1%

-5.2 vs price

Away 3.25 · implied 30.8%

9.0%

-21.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 25454 EUR · live

Over 1.62 · implied 61.7%

71.6%

+9.9 vs price

Under 2.66 · implied 37.6%

28.5%

-9.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 645 EUR · live

Under 1.1 · implied 90.9%

90.6%

-0.3 vs price

Over 11.0 · implied 9.1%

9.2%

+0.1 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

27' ⚽ N. Žugelj · assist A. Simmelhack0–1

36' ⚽ D. Tomas · assist W. Olofsson1–1

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 K. Ackermann ◂ N. Žugelj

59' 🔁 S. Gustafsson ◂ L. Carlstrand

68' ⚽ A. Simmelhack · assist F. Eriksson1–2

71' 🔁 S. Wilson ◂ L. Bergquist

71' 🔁 L. Järeteg ◂ T. Ayari

75' ⚽ A. Kouame · assist J. Hove2–2

82' 🔁 I. Seidu ◂ T. Heintz

86' 🔁 Y. Geiger ◂ L. Assadi

87' 🔁 H. Matthys ◂ W. Olofsson

Full-time · 2–2

90'⁺² 🔁 E. Fasth ◂ F. Eriksson

90'⁺⁶ S. Larsson · Argument

Coaches

Jose Riveiro

Joachim Björklund

Recent form

AIK

LHIF Brommapojkarna5-6

LAHalmstads BK1-2

DHMjällby AIF1-1

LHVästerås SK1-4

DAMalmö FF0-0

IFK Göteborg

WHVästerås SK1-0

LAArka Gdynia2-3

WAIF Brommapojkarna1-0

WHHalmstads BK2-1

WAMjällby AIF4-1

About this match

**AIK's winless streak meets Göteborg's hot form — this is a **proper test** for the home side.** 🔥

AIK are struggling badly with just two draws in five, while Göteborg are flying with four wins in their last stretch. The visitors have the momentum, but AIK's home record and H2H edge (17 wins vs 15) offer some cushion. This one's genuinely balanced on paper.

Key storylines:

- **AIK's injury crisis** deepens with A. Helm, A. Redkin, and I. Cissé sidelined — defensive depth is being tested hard
- **Göteborg's form** is the real story: four wins in five games shows they've found their rhythm at exactly the right time
- **Midfield battle** between AIK's Y. Geiger and J. Hove against Göteborg's T. Heintz and O. Mansson will likely decide possession

Expected lineups:

- **AIK**: K. Nordfeldt, L. Bergquist, H. Matthys, W. Olofsson, Y. Geiger, J. Hove, A. Kouame, L. Assadi, L. Carlstrand
- **IFK Göteborg**: V. Andersson, N. Tolf, H. Hermannsson, J. Bager, T. Heintz, O. Mansson, D. Kruse, S. Larsson

Prediction:

**1-1 draw.** Both teams have reasons to believe, but AIK's injury list and Göteborg's recent confidence make this a coin flip that'll likely end level.

Where to watch

VG TV

Match facts

Stadium

Strawberry Arena

City

Solna

Referee

Kristoffer Karlsson

3.72 yellows/match · 46 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Competition

Allsvenskan

AIK 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 IFK Göteborg

15 K. Nordfeldt 8.1 2 E. Edh 7.0 33 D. Tomas 6.9 3 H. Matthys 6.8 ↑ 87' 21 S. Wilson 6.8 ↑ 71' 8 J. Hove 7.8 18 A. Ali 6.8 28 L. Järeteg 6.7 ↑ 71' 48 A. Kouame 8.0 46 Y. Geiger 6.6 ↑ 86' 16 S. Gustafsson 6.3 ↑ 59' 12 V. Andersson 6.2 26 E. Fasth ↑ 90' 5 J. Bager 6.4 6 H. Hermannsson 6.6 22 N. Tolf 6.8 24 O. Mansson 7.1 15 D. Kruse 7.8 4 K. Ackermann 6.5 ↑ 46' 8 S. Larsson 6.9 28 I. Seidu 6.5 ↑ 82' 7 A. Simmelhack 7.9

Substitutes

30GK. Joelsson 5DL. Bergquist↓ 71'6.7 34DW. Olofsson↓ 87'6.7 17DM. Thychosen 20DS. Hausner 45MT. Ayari↓ 71'6.0 10FL. Assadi↓ 86'6.3 9FL. Carlstrand↓ 59'6.1 43FN. Staykov

Coach: Jose Riveiro

Substitutes

25GE. Bishesari 18DF. Eriksson↓ 90'7.1 20DG. E. Ersoy 11MN. Žugelj↓ 46'7.7 14MT. Heintz↓ 82'6.9 21ML. Radakovic 35MN. Lundén 9FM. Fenger 30FT. Coimbra

Coach: Joachim Björklund

Top stats

54%Possession46%

2.17Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.24

12Total shots14

3Shots on target6

2Big chances2

3Corners4

Shots

6Shots off target6

3Blocked shots2

9Shots inside box9

3Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed1

Attack

19Touches in box22

47Final third entries66

1Offsides2

16Free kicks10

0Fouled in final third1

Passing

472Passes394

362Accurate passes289

17/54 (31%)Long balls27/64 (42%)

2/7 (29%)Crosses4/15 (27%)

26Throw-ins32

Duels

45Duels55

31/67 (46%)Ground duels36/67 (54%)

9/22 (41%)Aerial duels13/22 (59%)

5/19 (26%)Dribbles4/11 (36%)

8Dispossessed5

Defending

12Tackles22

75Tackles won68

8Interceptions12

29Clearances21

36Recoveries42

Discipline

10Fouls16

0Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves1

11Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

AIK 37%

26%

Göteborg 38%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.23 @ 1xBet

BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.68 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 59% · 3.50 @ William Hill

1X2Göteborg to win 38% · 2.77 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.81 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 26% · 2.66 @ 1xBet

Who winsAIK to win (DNB) 60% · 1.90 @ Betsson

1X2AIK to win 37% · 2.88 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 2.02 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.51

AIK

3.60

Draw

2.50

IFK Göteborg

Double Chanceconsensus

1.48

AIK or Draw

1.25

AIK or IFK Göteborg

1.50

Draw or IFK Göteborg

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.51

Yes

2.38

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.98

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.59

Over 2.50

2.30

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.42

Over 3.50

1.51

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.33

Over 4.50

1.20

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.85

AIK

1.85

IFK Göteborg

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.10

Over 7.50

5.20

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.23

Over 8.50

3.50

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.46

Over 9.50

2.51

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.73

Over 10.50

2.00

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.17

Over 11.50

1.61

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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