IK Sirius 2-2 IF Elfsborg: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. IK Sirius 2-2 IF Elfsborg.

90+3'

H. Castegren

Attempt blocked. H. Castegren (IK Sirius), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+3'

H. Castegren

Attempt saved. H. Castegren (IK Sirius), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

90+1'

J. Beck

Substitution, IF Elfsborg: S. Hedlund comes on for J. Beck.

90+1'

M. Kamara

Substitution, IF Elfsborg: P. Frick comes on for M. Kamara.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

87'

L. Östman

Goal! IK Sirius 2-2 IF Elfsborg. L. Östman (IF Elfsborg) scores, assisted by N. Hult.

84'

T. Anker

Attempt missed. T. Anker (IK Sirius), header from a corner. xG 0.23.

83'

IK Sirius

Corner, IK Sirius.

83'

Å. Andersson

Substitution, IK Sirius: O. Liimatta comes on for Å. Andersson.

82'

J. Magnusson

Attempt saved. J. Magnusson (IF Elfsborg), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

82'

IF Elfsborg

Corner, IF Elfsborg.

81'

IF Elfsborg

Corner, IF Elfsborg.

81'

T. Isherwood

Attempt blocked. T. Isherwood (IF Elfsborg), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

80'

A. Zeneli

Attempt blocked. A. Zeneli (IF Elfsborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

79'

IF Elfsborg

Corner, IF Elfsborg.

78'

M. Soumah

Yellow card for M. Soumah (IK Sirius) for foul.

77'

M. Kamara

Attempt missed. M. Kamara (IF Elfsborg), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

75'

IF Elfsborg

Corner, IF Elfsborg.

75'

L. Östman

Attempt missed. L. Östman (IF Elfsborg), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

73'

J. Persson

Goal! IK Sirius 2-1 IF Elfsborg. J. Persson (IK Sirius) scores, assisted by M. Lindberg.

70'

J. Persson

Goal! IK Sirius 1-1 IF Elfsborg. J. Persson (IK Sirius) scores, assisted by M. Lindberg.

69'

IK Sirius

Corner, IK Sirius.

68'

M. Heier

Attempt blocked. M. Heier (IK Sirius), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

68'

IK Sirius

Corner, IK Sirius.

64'

A. Zeneli

Attempt missed. A. Zeneli (IF Elfsborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

62'

S. Olsson

Substitution, IF Elfsborg: O. Nordvall comes on for S. Olsson.

62'

A. Sigurpálsson

Substitution, IF Elfsborg: A. Zeneli comes on for A. Sigurpálsson.

60'

V. Svensson

Substitution, IK Sirius: A. Wikman comes on for V. Svensson.

53'

T. Isherwood

Yellow card for T. Isherwood (IF Elfsborg) for foul.

52'

IF Elfsborg

Offside, IF Elfsborg.

47'

IF Elfsborg

Offside, IF Elfsborg.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. IK Sirius 0-1 IF Elfsborg.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

J. Magnusson

Off the woodwork! J. Magnusson (IF Elfsborg), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

45'

M. Lindberg

Attempt missed. M. Lindberg (IK Sirius), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

44'

IF Elfsborg

Corner, IF Elfsborg.

44'

M. Kamara

Attempt blocked. M. Kamara (IF Elfsborg), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.07.

43'

V. Svensson

Yellow card for V. Svensson (IK Sirius) for argument.

43'

IF Elfsborg

Corner, IF Elfsborg.

39'

A. Sigurpálsson

Yellow card for A. Sigurpálsson (IF Elfsborg) for foul.

38'

V. Svensson

Attempt saved. V. Svensson (IK Sirius), header. xG 0.06.

37'

I. Bjerkebo

Attempt blocked. I. Bjerkebo (IK Sirius), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

35'

T. Isherwood

Attempt missed. T. Isherwood (IF Elfsborg), header from a corner. xG 0.11.

35'

IF Elfsborg

Corner, IF Elfsborg.

28'

IK Sirius

Offside, IK Sirius.

28'

O. Krusnell

Attempt missed. O. Krusnell (IK Sirius), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

28'

IK Sirius

Offside, IK Sirius.

27'

IK Sirius

Corner, IK Sirius.

26'

I. Bjerkebo

Attempt missed. I. Bjerkebo (IK Sirius), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

23'

M. Heier

Attempt missed. M. Heier (IK Sirius), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

20'

J. Beck

Goal! IK Sirius 0-1 IF Elfsborg. J. Beck (IF Elfsborg) scores, assisted by A. Sigurpálsson.

19'

S. Olsson

Attempt saved. S. Olsson (IF Elfsborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

17'

IF Elfsborg

Corner, IF Elfsborg.

17'

J. Beck

Attempt saved. J. Beck (IF Elfsborg), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

13'

I. Bjerkebo

Attempt saved. I. Bjerkebo (IK Sirius), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

4'

IK Sirius

Corner, IK Sirius.

4'

IK Sirius

Corner, IK Sirius.

2'

L. Östman

Attempt saved. L. Östman (IF Elfsborg), header. xG 0.12.

1'

Kick-off: IK Sirius vs IF Elfsborg.

Where the money is

189618 EUR matched · captured 4 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 104294 EUR · live

Home 44.0 · implied 2.3%

42.5%

+40.2 vs price

Away 250.0 · implied 0.4%

31.3%

+30.9 vs price

Draw 1.02 · implied 98.0%

26.2%

-71.9 vs price

Half time 478 EUR · live

Away 1.42 · implied 70.4%

67.5%

-2.9 vs price

Draw 4.1 · implied 24.4%

16.5%

-7.9 vs price

Home 16.5 · implied 6.1%

15.7%

+9.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 25130 EUR · live

Under 2.04 · implied 49.0%

54.0%

+4.9 vs price

Over 1.95 · implied 51.3%

46.0%

-5.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 1267 EUR · live

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

92.0%

-3.2 vs price

Over 6.8 · implied 14.7%

7.9%

-6.8 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

20' ⚽ J. Beck · assist A. Sigurpálsson0–1

39' A. Sigurpálsson · Foul

43' V. Svensson · Argument

Half-time · 0–1

53' T. Isherwood · Foul

60' 🔁 A. Wikman ◂ V. Svensson

62' 🔁 A. Zeneli ◂ A. Sigurpálsson

62' 🔁 O. Nordvall ◂ S. Olsson

70' ⚽ J. Persson · assist M. Lindberg1–1

73' ⚽ J. Persson · assist M. Lindberg2–1

78' M. Soumah · Foul

83' 🔁 O. Liimatta ◂ Å. Andersson

87' ⚽ L. Östman · assist N. Hult2–2

Full-time · 2–2

90'⁺¹ 🔁 P. Frick ◂ M. Kamara

90'⁺¹ 🔁 S. Hedlund ◂ J. Beck

Coaches

Andreas Engelmark

Björn Hamberg

Recent form

IK Sirius

WAGAIS1-0

DABrøndby IF1-1

WAÖrgryte IS2-1

WHDegerfors IF2-0

WAVästerås SK1-0

IF Elfsborg

WHHalmstads BK4-0

LHBK Häcken0-1

WADjurgårdens IF2-1

WHKalmar FF1-0

LAIF Brommapojkarna1-2

About this match

**Sirius are on a roll and Elfsborg need to show some bite** — the hosts have won four of their last five and look sharp at the right time, while the visitors are wildly inconsistent (three wins, two losses in their last stretch). 🔥

Sirius' backline depth is looking thin with **J. Uneken**, **M. Nartey**, and **O. Liimatta** all out, but they've kept the momentum rolling. Elfsborg showed they can blow teams away (4-0 over Halmstad) but also crash out badly (0-1 to Häcken at home), making them genuinely unpredictable.

Key storylines:

- **Sirius' injury crisis at the back** — three regulars sidelined, yet they're still firing on attack with **V. Svensson** and **Å. Andersson** leading the charge
- **Elfsborg's form is a coin flip** — hot-then-cold pattern means they could turn up and wreck house or flatline defensively
- **Head-to-head is dead even** — 8-8 in the last 19, so no obvious edge in recent history

Expected lineups:

- **IK Sirius**: D. Celic, O. Krusnell, T. Anker, M. Soumah, H. Castegren, M. Heier, M. Lindberg, I. Bjerkebo, V. Svensson, J. Persson, Å. Andersson
- **IF Elfsborg**: I. Pettersson, T. Isherwood, N. Hult, R. Wikström, S. Holmén, M. Kamara, J. Beck, L. Östman, A. Jensen, J. Magnusson, A. Zeneli

Prediction:

**Sirius 2–1 Elfsborg**. Home form and rhythm edge out Elfsborg's occasional brilliance.

Where to watch

VG TV

Match facts

Stadium

Studenternas IP

City

Uppsala

Referee

Adi Aganovic

3.84 yellows/match · 44 matches

Kickoff

18 Oct, 12:00 UTC

Competition

Allsvenskan

Highlights & clips

IK Sirius 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1 IF Elfsborg

34 D. Celic 6.1 5 H. Castegren 7.1 2 M. Soumah 5.7 4 T. Anker 6.1 22 O. Krusnell 6.3 18 A. Wikman 6.7 ↑ 60' 10 M. Heier 7.0 6 M. Lindberg 7.9 7 J. Persson 8.8 16 O. Liimatta 6.5 ↑ 83' 11 I. Bjerkebo 6.5 31 I. Pettersson 6.2 16 A. Jensen 6.5 6 R. Wikström 6.8 4 T. Isherwood 6.6 23 N. Hult 6.9 15 S. Hedlund ↑ 90' 18 J. Magnusson 6.9 17 P. Frick ↑ 90' 5 O. Nordvall 6.3 ↑ 62' 9 A. Zeneli 6.5 ↑ 62' 21 L. Östman 8.3

Substitutes

1GI. Diawara 15DS. Sandberg 20DV. Ekström 24MV. Svensson↓ 60'6.7 29MÅ. Andersson↓ 83'6.6 30MZ. Vancsa 17MN. Jönsson 21MC. Nilden 25MO. S. Adindu

Coach: Andreas Engelmark

Substitutes

12GT. Sander 3DJ. Esenga 8DS. Holmén 19MJ. Beck↓ 90'7.9 10MS. Olsson↓ 62'6.7 29MM. Kamara↓ 90'6.5 25FA. Sigurpálsson↓ 62'6.7 11FT. Silverholt 22FD. Krasniqi

Coach: Björn Hamberg

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.48Expected goals (xG)1.19

13Total shots14

5Shots on target6

2Big chances1

6Corners8

Shots

5Shots off target5

3Blocked shots3

9Shots inside box9

4Shots outside box5

0Hit woodwork1

2Big chances scored1

Attack

22Touches in box17

60Final third entries39

1Offsides2

12Free kicks7

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

510Passes464

449Accurate passes401

25/47 (53%)Long balls27/51 (53%)

5/26 (19%)Crosses5/16 (31%)

21Throw-ins11

Duels

47Duels53

31/67 (46%)Ground duels36/67 (54%)

8/16 (50%)Aerial duels8/16 (50%)

4/14 (29%)Dribbles5/16 (31%)

14Dispossessed4

Defending

15Tackles24

60Tackles won54

11Interceptions19

15Clearances23

43Recoveries48

Discipline

7Fouls12

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves3

7Goal kicks11

0Punches3

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Sirius 44%

27%

Elfsborg 29%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 55% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.30 @ 1xBet

Who winsSirius to win (DNB) 66% · 1.57 @ Betano

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 3.90 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ Bet365

1X2Sirius to win 44% · 2.50 @ Bet365

1X2Elfsborg to win 29% · 3.50 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 56% · 1.87 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

IK Sirius

3.50

Draw

3.18

IF Elfsborg

Double Chanceconsensus

1.31

IK Sirius or Draw

1.27

IK Sirius or IF Elfsborg

1.70

Draw or IF Elfsborg

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.57

Yes

2.25

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.90

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

6.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

12.05

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.20

Over 1.50

4.17

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.71

Over 2.50

2.10

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.69

Over 3.50

1.42

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.12

Over 4.50

1.15

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.53

IK Sirius

2.35

IF Elfsborg

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.14

Over 7.50

4.50

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.30

Over 8.50

3.10

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.54

Over 9.50

2.33

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.87

Over 10.50

1.83

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.35

Over 11.50

1.52

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Report a data issue