Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Hammarby come into this one absolutely rolling** — four wins in their last five makes them the team everyone's trying to avoid. Sirius? They're middling it, mixing decent form with draws they'd probably rather forget. 🔥
Hammarby's the heavy favorite here with their **dominant H2H record (11 wins to Sirius's 4)** and current momentum. Sirius will need to tighten up defensively and nick something on the counter, but that's easier said than done against a team firing on all cylinders at home.
Key storylines:
- **Hammarby's attacking depth** keeps finding the net — S. Kebbeh, P. Abraham, and M. Madjed form a potent front three that Sirius's backline will struggle to contain
- **Sirius's recent draws** (2-2 with Elfsborg, their last home match) suggest they're vulnerable to conceding multiple goals when pressed
- Injuries matter less here — **A. Boudri out for Hammarby** is notable but their XI is still stacked, while **O. Liimatta's absence** barely dents Sirius's setup
Expected lineups:
- **Hammarby IF**: W. Hahn, F. Winther, H. Skoglund, N. Persson, I. Fofana, V. Lind, M. Karlsson, F. J. Adjei, P. Abraham, M. Madjed, S. Kebbeh
- **IK Sirius**: D. Celic, H. Castegren, O. Krusnell, T. Anker, M. Soumah, M. Heier, I. Bjerkebo, V. Svensson, M. Lindberg, J. Persson, J. Uneken
Prediction:
**Hammarby 2–0 IK Sirius**
Hammarby's got the edge in form, firepower, and history. Sirius will grind but won't have enough.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.