Örgryte IS 1-2 Mjällby AIF: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Örgryte IS 1-2 Mjällby AIF.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

86'

D. Paulson

Attempt blocked. D. Paulson (Örgryte IS), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

86'

A. Andreasson

Attempt missed. A. Andreasson (Örgryte IS), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

86'

Örgryte IS

Corner, Örgryte IS.

85'

M. Nielsen

Substitution, Mjällby AIF: L. Tidstrand comes on for M. Nielsen.

85'

V. Granath

Substitution, Mjällby AIF: I. Hoffmann comes on for V. Granath.

84'

D. Paulson

Attempt saved. D. Paulson (Örgryte IS), header. xG 0.08.

83'

D. Obou

Attempt missed. D. Obou (Örgryte IS), header. xG 0.08.

82'

M. Nielsen

Attempt saved. M. Nielsen (Mjällby AIF), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

81'

Á. Samuelsen

Attempt missed. Á. Samuelsen (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

79'

J. Bergström

Attempt missed. J. Bergström (Mjällby AIF), left-footed shot. xG 0.19.

78'

V. Ekblom

Substitution, Örgryte IS: D. Obou comes on for V. Ekblom.

75'

D. Paulson

Attempt missed. D. Paulson (Örgryte IS), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

72'

J. Kjaer

Substitution, Mjällby AIF: Á. Samuelsen comes on for J. Kjaer.

72'

J. Hammar

Substitution, Örgryte IS: A. Andreasson comes on for J. Hammar.

72'

B. Laturnus

Substitution, Örgryte IS: L. F. Andersson comes on for B. Laturnus.

67'

Örgryte IS

Offside, Örgryte IS.

64'

V. Ekblom

Yellow card for V. Ekblom (Örgryte IS) for argument.

59'

J. Bergström

Attempt saved. J. Bergström (Mjällby AIF), shot from a set piece. xG 0.15.

57'

A. Andersson

Attempt saved. A. Andersson (Örgryte IS), header. xG 0.07.

56'

C. Vindehall

Substitution, Örgryte IS: W. Hofvander comes on for C. Vindehall.

56'

M. Parker

Substitution, Örgryte IS: D. Paulson comes on for M. Parker.

55'

J. Hammar

Attempt blocked. J. Hammar (Örgryte IS), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

55'

B. Laturnus

Attempt blocked. B. Laturnus (Örgryte IS), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

54'

J. Kjaer

Attempt missed. J. Kjaer (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

49'

T. Miettinen

Goal! Örgryte IS 1-2 Mjällby AIF. T. Miettinen (Mjällby AIF) scores, assisted by J. Kjaer.

48'

J. Kjaer

Attempt missed. J. Kjaer (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Örgryte IS 1-1 Mjällby AIF.

45+3'

J. Gustavsson

Yellow card for J. Gustavsson (Mjällby AIF) for foul.

45+3'

T. Miettinen

Attempt missed. T. Miettinen (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

44'

J. Gustavsson

Attempt saved. J. Gustavsson (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

41'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

38'

A. Norén

Attempt missed. A. Norén (Mjällby AIF), header. xG 0.10.

37'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

32'

A. Iqbal

Attempt missed. A. Iqbal (Mjällby AIF), left-footed shot. xG 0.25.

23'

B. Laturnus

Yellow card for B. Laturnus (Örgryte IS) for foul.

20'

M. Dyrestam

Attempt missed. M. Dyrestam (Örgryte IS), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

19'

Örgryte IS

Corner, Örgryte IS.

18'

M. Dyrestam

Goal! Örgryte IS 1-1 Mjällby AIF. M. Dyrestam (Örgryte IS) scores, assisted by A. Andersson.

17'

J. Gustavsson

Attempt missed. J. Gustavsson (Mjällby AIF), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

9'

O. P. Price

Attempt missed. O. P. Price (Örgryte IS), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.06.

7'

Örgryte IS

Corner, Örgryte IS.

7'

M. Dyrestam

Attempt blocked. M. Dyrestam (Örgryte IS), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

7'

V. Ekblom

Attempt blocked. V. Ekblom (Örgryte IS), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

5'

J. Bergström

Goal! Örgryte IS 0-1 Mjällby AIF. J. Bergström (Mjällby AIF) scores, assisted by J. Kjaer.

4'

Mjällby AIF

Corner, Mjällby AIF.

1'

Kick-off: Örgryte IS vs Mjällby AIF.

Where the money is

123530 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 56087 EUR · live

Away 1.02 · implied 98.0%

62.0%

-36.0 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

25.0%

+24.9 vs price

Draw 24.0 · implied 4.2%

13.5%

+9.3 vs price

Half time 9 EUR

Draw 2.46 · implied 40.7%

98.7%

+58.0 vs price

Away 3.0 · implied 33.3%

15.5%

-17.8 vs price

Home 3.75 · implied 26.7%

3.2%

-23.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 18769 EUR · live

Over 1.33 · implied 75.2%

66.3%

-8.9 vs price

Under 4.0 · implied 25.0%

33.7%

+8.7 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG (estimated)

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

5' ⚽ J. Bergström · assist J. Kjaer0–1

18' ⚽ M. Dyrestam · assist A. Andersson1–1

23' B. Laturnus · Foul

Half-time · 1–1

45'⁺³ J. Gustavsson · Foul

49' ⚽ T. Miettinen · assist J. Kjaer1–2

56' 🔁 D. Paulson ◂ M. Parker

56' 🔁 W. Hofvander ◂ C. Vindehall

64' V. Ekblom · Argument

72' 🔁 L. F. Andersson ◂ B. Laturnus

72' 🔁 A. Andreasson ◂ J. Hammar

72' 🔁 Á. Samuelsen ◂ J. Kjaer

78' 🔁 D. Obou ◂ V. Ekblom

85' 🔁 I. Hoffmann ◂ V. Granath

85' 🔁 L. Tidstrand ◂ M. Nielsen

Full-time · 1–2

Coaches

Andreas Holmberg

Andreas Brannstorm

Recent form

Örgryte IS

DADjurgårdens IF2-2

WHGAIS4-2

LABK Häcken0-3

LHIK Sirius1-2

LAMalmö FF1-4

Mjällby AIF

LHHammarby IF0-2

DAFC Iberia 19991-1

LAVästerås SK0-1

WHInter Club d'Escaldes2-0

DHDegerfors IF1-1

About this match

**Örgryte at home with a chance to climb back, but form is fragile** — both clubs are stuttering through late-season Allsvenskan, and this one could go either way. 🔵

Örgryte's won just once in five but beat GAIS 4-2 at Gamla Ullevi; Mjällby are scrappy (1W, 2D in last five) and haven't scored in their last two away trips. The home crowd matters here, especially with Örgryte's recent mixed bag.

Key storylines:

- **Örgryte's attacking depth** tested without A. Abukar, J. T. Ugwo, and R. Alm — D. Paulson and V. Ekblom will need to carry the load up top
- **Mjällby's away struggles** continue a worrying trend; expect them to sit deep and target the counter with A. Youssef and J. Bergström
- **Head-to-head lean** favors Örgryte (4W in last 9) — home turf could be the tiebreaker

Expected lineups:

- **Örgryte IS**: H. Gustafsson, M. Dyrestam, S. Lagerlund, C. Styffe, A. Andersson, W. Hofvander, O. P. Price, B. Laturnus, T. Sana, V. Ekblom, D. Paulson
- **Mjällby AIF**: R. Wallinder, A. Iqbal, T. Miettinen, V. Gustafson, A. Norén, M. Nielsen, V. Granath, J. Gustavsson, J. Bergström, A. Youssef, J. Kjaer

Prediction:

**Örgryte 2–1 Mjällby**. Slight edge to the home side on recent h2h and Mjällby's road form woes.

Where to watch

VG TV

Match facts

Stadium

Gamla Ullevi

City

Gothenburg

Referee

Sajad Al Hakim

Kickoff

29 Oct, 18:00 UTC

Competition

Allsvenskan

Highlights & clips

Örgryte IS 5-3-2 · 5-3-2 Mjällby AIF

44 H. Gustafsson 6.5 18 A. Andersson 6.2 19 A. Andreasson 6.9 ↑ 72' 6 M. Dyrestam 7.8 5 C. Styffe 6.6 14 D. Paulson 6.5 ↑ 56' 23 O. P. Price 7.5 17 W. Hofvander 6.7 ↑ 56' 9 L. F. Andersson 6.5 ↑ 72' 11 D. Obou 6.4 ↑ 78' 22 T. Sana 7.0 35 A. Lundin 6.7 26 I. Hoffmann 6.6 ↑ 85' 33 T. Miettinen 7.2 4 A. Norén 7.4 24 T. Pettersson 7.4 27 L. Tidstrand 6.6 ↑ 85' 22 J. Gustavsson 7.0 5 A. Iqbal 6.8 7 V. Gustafson 6.9 23 Á. Samuelsen 7.0 ↑ 72' 18 J. Bergström 6.9

Substitutes

34GA. Rahm 2DM. Parker↓ 56'6.2 25DJ. Hammar↓ 72'6.1 3DJ. Azulay 7MC. Vindehall↓ 56'6.5 8MB. Laturnus↓ 72'6.4 21MW. Kenndal 32FV. Ekblom↓ 78'6.4 29FM. Ebietomere

Coach: Andreas Holmberg

Substitutes

1GS. Hansen 25DM. Nielsen↓ 85'6.2 2DL. Svanberg 14MV. Granath↓ 85'6.8 6MM. Enggård 39MR. Leandersson 29MO. Lindberg 10FJ. Kjaer↓ 72'7.3 9FA. Youssef

Coach: Andreas Brannstorm

Top stats

44%Possession56%

0.78Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.5

13Total shots13

3Shots on target5

0Big chances3

3Corners3

Shots

5Shots off target8

5Blocked shots1

9Shots inside box9

4Shots outside box4

0Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed1

Attack

19Touches in box20

50Final third entries84

1Offsides0

10Free kicks9

0Fouled in final third3

Passing

446Passes569

346Accurate passes486

18/57 (32%)Long balls27/57 (47%)

6/17 (35%)Crosses4/21 (19%)

19Throw-ins21

Duels

56Duels44

33/58 (57%)Ground duels25/58 (43%)

18/33 (55%)Aerial duels15/33 (45%)

7/18 (39%)Dribbles4/9 (44%)

1Dispossessed13

Defending

18Tackles12

56Tackles won75

9Interceptions8

31Clearances29

58Recoveries56

Discipline

9Fouls10

2Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

3Saves2

11Goal kicks7

2Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Örgryte 32%

27%

Mjällby 41%

1X2Mjällby to win 41% · 2.60 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.25 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.44 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.33 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.02 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 27% · 2.51 @ 1xBet

Who winsÖrgryte to win (DNB) 54% · 2.25 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.38 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle

1X2Örgryte to win 32% · 3.31 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.90

Örgryte IS

3.45

Draw

2.25

Mjällby AIF

Double Chanceconsensus

1.59

Örgryte IS or Draw

1.28

Örgryte IS or Mjällby AIF

1.36

Draw or Mjällby AIF

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.64

Yes

2.15

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.33

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

11.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

3.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

1.96

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.00

Over 3.50

1.33

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.72

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.15

Örgryte IS

1.62

Mjällby AIF

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.20

Over 7.50

3.27

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.42

Over 8.50

2.56

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.73

Over 9.50

2.00

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.17

Over 10.50

1.62

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.70

Over 11.50

1.35

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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