Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 61%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 86% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 59%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 27%
Timeline
A. Al-Dakheel
33'
N. Al-Habashi
53'
⚽M. Retegui
56'
🔁G. Carvalho ◂ A. Hazazi
57'
🔁J. Thakri ◂ Y. Al-Shahrani
57'
⚽M. A. Juwayr
61'
🔁F. Martins ◂ N. Al-Habashi
62'
🔁A. Saâyoud ◂ M. Carvalho
62'
🔁A. Bah ◂ B. Y. Al-Sayyali
68'
🔁A. Al-Shamrani ◂ E. Mokwana
68'
⚽J. Quiñones
73'
🔁S. R. Mohamed ◂ M. Retegui
77'
🔁T. Al-Ammar ◂ C. Baah
77'
🔁M. Al-Yami ◂ Y. Al-Shammari
79'
⚽A. Al-Nakhli
81'
⚽A. Bah
86'
🔁Q. Lajami ◂ N. Fernández
87'
J. Thakri
88'
⚽M. A. Al-Shamat
90'
Coaches
Jalel KadriBrendan Rodgers 
Recent form
Al-HazemWAl-Hazem3-2Al-Najma SC
LAl-Hilal3-0Al-Hazem
LAl-Hazem1-2Neom SC
WAl-Riyadh1-2Al-Hazem
DAl-Fayha0-0Al-Hazem
Al-QadsiahWAl-Qadsiah5-0Al-Fayha
WAl-Nassr1-2Al-Qadsiah
WAl-Qadsiah4-0Al-Riyadh
WAl-Shabab2-3Al-Qadsiah
DAl-Qadsiah1-1Damac FC
Match facts
Stadium
Al-Hazem Club Stadium
City
Ar Rass
Referee
Kirill Levnikov
Kickoff
18 Jan, 15:15 UTC
Al-Hazem
4-1-4-1 · 3-4-1-2
Al-Qadsiah
14
B. Varela
5.8
2
S. A. Rashed
5.2
4
S. Tanker
6.1
34
A. Al-Dakheel
5.4
27
A. Al-Nakhli
4.8
32
R. Loreintz
6.8
17
E. Mokwana
6.2
80
M. Carvalho
6.4
6
B. Y. Al-Sayyali
7.0
19
N. Al-Habashi
6.7
7
Y. Al-Shammari
6.2
1
K. Casteels
6.3
12
Y. Al-Shahrani
6.9
6
N. Fernández
7.3
17
G. Álvarez
7.0
2
M. A. Al-Shamat
7.8
5
J. Weigl
7.2
11
A. Hazazi
6.6
22
C. Baah
7.5
10
M. A. Juwayr
7.3
33
J. Quiñones
7.1
32
M. Retegui
7.6
Substitutes
11A. Saâyoud7.210F. Martins6.224A. Bah8.070A. Al-Shamrani6.25M. Al-Yami5.423I. Zaied8A. Al-Harajin82A. Al-Harbi13A. Al-Shanqiti
Coach: Jalel Kadri
Substitutes
20G. Carvalho7.24J. Thakri6.114S. R. Mohamed6.97T. Al-Ammar6.387Q. Lajami6.940I. Mahnashi27E. Houssa9A. Al-Salem28A. Al-Kassar
Coach: Brendan Rodgers
35%Possession65%
0.54Expected goals (xG)2.91
13Total shots14
3Shots on target5
0Big chances4
2Corners3
12Fouls6
2Yellow cards1