Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 67%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 88% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 64%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 32%
Timeline
⚽A. Ghareeb
5'
🔁A. R. A. Khaibari ◂ A. S. Mohammed
46'
⚽C. Ronaldo
50'
🔁A. Al-Khaibari ◂ K. Coman
58'
🔁Y. Naji ◂ R. Sharahili
60'
🔁Y. Méïté ◂ H. Al-Ghamdi
60'
⚽J. Harkass
68'
🔁N. Boushal ◂ S. F. A. Nasser
73'
A. Ghareeb
80'
Ângelo
82'
🔁K. Al-Semeiry ◂ A. Al-Qahtani
84'
🔁A. Al-Hassan ◂ A. Ghareeb
87'
🔁N. A. Sharari ◂ Ângelo
87'
Coaches
Fábio CarilleJorge Jesus 
Recent form
Damac FCDAl-Fayha1-1Damac FC
DDamac FC1-1Al-Ittihad
LAl-Khaleej4-0Damac FC
LDamac FC0-2Al-Hilal
WAl-Okhdood0-1Damac FC
Al-NassrWAl-Nassr3-2Al-Shabab
LAl-Hilal3-1Al-Nassr
LAl-Nassr1-2Al-Qadsiah
LAl-Ahli3-2Al-Nassr
DAl-Ettifaq2-2Al-Nassr
Match facts
Stadium
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium
City
Abha
Referee
Abdullah Al-Kharbosh
Kickoff
21 Jan, 17:30 UTC
Damac FC
5-4-1 · 4-1-4-1
Al-Nassr
1
Kewin
6.1
12
A. S. Mohammed
6.3
15
J. Harkass
7.6
3
A. Bedrane
7.7
13
A. Al-Obaid
6.4
20
D. Al-Enezi
6.0
90
H. Al-Ghamdi
6.5
26
R. Sharahili
6.3
2
M. Sylla
6.5
7
A. Al-Qahtani
7.3
8
V. Vada
6.8
24
Bento
6.1
2
S. Al-Ghannam
6.5
3
M. Simakan
6.6
26
I. Martínez
7.2
96
S. F. A. Nasser
6.5
11
M. Brozović
7.1
21
K. Coman
6.9
79
J. Félix
7.0
20
Ângelo
6.3
29
A. Ghareeb
7.1
7
C. Ronaldo
7.3
Substitutes
22A. R. A. Khaibari6.580Y. Naji6.511Y. Méïté6.588K. Al-Semeiry7.123J. Alhassan21A. Omar33M. Al-Baqaawi6T. Mohammed5H. Rubayyi
Coach: Fábio Carille
39%Possession61%
0.77Expected goals (xG)1.59
8Total shots14
3Shots on target4
2Big chances4
3Corners6
6Fouls11
0Yellow cards2