Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 45%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 88% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 63%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 31%
Timeline
⚽R. Martínez
23'
⚽F. Martins
49'
M. Alaeli
51'
⚽Y. Al-Shammari
55'
S. A. Rashed
58'
🔁B. Al-Hurayji ◂ M. Alaeli
59'
🔁M. Al-Qahtani ◂ M. Al-Kuwaykibi
70'
🔁A. A. Mohammed ◂ C. Zambrano
71'
🔁A. Hawsawi ◂ V. Hugo
71'
🔁M. Al-Yami ◂ A. Bah
74'
🔁N. Al-Habashi ◂ Y. Al-Shammari
79'
🔁A. Al-Dwehe ◂ F. Martins
79'
🔁M. A. Aqal ◂ M. Mahzari
83'
⚽R. Martínez
85'
🔁A. Al-Khaibary ◂ M. Carvalho
90'
Form
Al-Taawoun
WLWLW
Al-Hazem
WLLWL
Match facts
Stadium
Alinma Stadium
City
Buraidah
Referee
Ali Al-Qahtani
Kickoff
22 Jan, 15:15 UTC
Al-Taawoun
4-3-3
1
Mailson
7.2
5
M. Mahzari
6.2
24
M. Sémbène
6.7
55
M. A. Dossari
7.5
2
M. Alaeli
6.2
6
V. Hugo
6.4
18
A. E. Mahdioui
7.0
11
A. Fulgini
6.9
19
C. Zambrano
7.2
10
R. Martínez
⚽2
7.9
7
M. Al-Kuwaykibi
7.0
Substitutes
66
B. Al-Hurayji
6.6
15
M. H. Alqahtani
6.5
9
A. A. Mohammed
6.4
77
A. Hawsawi
6.8
17
M. A. Aqal
6.6
44
A. A. Harbi
29
A. Bahusayn
13
A. Atiah
43
N. M. A. Hawairy
Al-Hazem
4-3-3
14
B. Varela
7.0
2
S. A. Rashed
7.2
13
A. Al-Shanqiti
5.9
34
A. Al-Dakheel
6.8
27
A. Al-Nakhli
6.2
24
A. Bah
6.3
32
R. Loreintz
7.1
80
M. Carvalho
7.0
11
A. Saâyoud
7.0
7
Y. Al-Shammari
⚽1
7.6
10
F. Martins
⚽1
8.1
Substitutes
5
M. Al-Yami
6.5
26
A. Al-Dwehe
6.2
19
N. Al-Habashi
6.4
15
A. Al-Khaibary
20
N. Al-Bishri
82
A. Al-Harbi
8
A. Al-Harajin
70
A. Al-Shamrani
23
I. Zaied
Coach: Pericles Chamusca
Coach: Jalel Kadri
56%Possession44%
1.69Expected goals (xG)1.7
5Total shots11
4Shots on target6
2Big chances4
7Corners1
9Fouls9
1Yellow cards1