Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
14'
🔁
N. Al-Habashi ◂ M. Carvalho
27'
D. Al-Enezi
36'
K. Al-Semeiry
37'
Kewin
45'
A. R. A. Khaibari
46'
🔁
Y. Méïté ◂ K. Al-Semeiry
49'
⚽
A. Bedrane0–1
57'
A. Al-Shanqiti
59'
🔁
R. Sharahili ◂ Y. Naji
61'
🔁
O. Al-Somah ◂ F. Martins
72'
Y. Méïté
74'
🔁
D. Kaiki ◂ V. Vada
80'
⚽
Kewin1–1
87'
⚽
A. Al-Dakheel2–1
90'
A. Al-Shamrani
90'
🔁
A. Al-Harbi ◂ Y. Al-Shammari
90'
🔁
A. Al-Shamrani ◂ A. Bah
90'
🔁
S. Tanker ◂ S. A. Rashed
Coaches
Fábio Carille 
Recent form
DAl-Taawoun2-2Al-Hazem
LAl-Hazem1-5Al-Qadsiah
WAl-Hazem3-2Al-Najma SC
LAl-Hilal3-0Al-Hazem
LAl-Hazem1-2Neom SC
LDamac FC1-2Al-Nassr
DAl-Fayha1-1Damac FC
DDamac FC1-1Al-Ittihad
LAl-Khaleej4-0Damac FC
LDamac FC0-2Al-Hilal
Match facts
Stadium
Al-Hazem Club Stadium
City
Ar Rass
Referee
Abdullah Zarban
Kickoff
26 Jan, 15:20 UTC
Competition
Saudi Pro League
14
B. Varela
6.4
2
S. A. Rashed
6.5
13
A. Al-Shanqiti
6.5
34
A. Al-Dakheel
8.8
27
A. Al-Nakhli
6.5
24
A. Bah
7.3
32
R. Loreintz
7.2
80
M. Carvalho
6.6
11
A. Saâyoud
8.5
7
Y. Al-Shammari
6.3
10
F. Martins
5.7
1
Kewin
22
A. R. A. Khaibari
15
J. Harkass
3
A. Bedrane
8.1
13
A. Al-Obaid
6.3
20
D. Al-Enezi
6.0
88
K. Al-Semeiry
6.4
2
M. Sylla
7.1
8
V. Vada
7.1
7
A. Al-Qahtani
6.2
80
Y. Naji
6.4
Substitutes
19N. Al-Habashi7.09O. Al-Somah6.54S. Tanker82A. Al-Harbi70A. Al-Shamrani5M. Al-Yami26A. Al-Dwehe23I. Zaied15A. Al-Khaibary
Coach: Jalel Kadri
Substitutes
11Y. Méïté6.226R. Sharahili6.277D. Kaiki6.423J. Alhassan33M. Al-Baqaawi6T. Mohammed5H. Rubayyi30N. A. Ghamdi21A. Omar
Coach: Fábio Carille
58%Possession42%
2.78Expected goals (xG)1.0
8Total shots10
3Shots on target4
4Big chances3
5Corners3
10Fouls14
2Yellow cards5
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 79% · Pick: BTTS Yes
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 91% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 36%