Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 71%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 88% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 64%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 32%
Timeline
🔁I. Zaied ◂ B. Varela
33'
Z. Aljohani
36'
A. Al-Nakhli
40'
F. Kessié
45'
🔁S. A. Rashed ◂ A. Al-Nakhli
46'
⚽I. Toney
58'
🔁Z. Hawsawi ◂ M. Dams
64'
🔁F. Al-Buraikan ◂ W. Galeno
64'
🔁Y. Al-Shammari ◂ N. Al-Habashi
73'
🔁Y. Oumarou ◂ M. Al-Yami
73'
⚽S. Tanker
76'
🔁A. Al-Shamrani ◂ A. Al-Harbi
78'
M. Abdulrahman
79'
🔁S. Aboulshamat ◂ R. Mahrez
80'
🔁E. A. Muwallad ◂ F. Kessié
81'
🔁Y. Madani ◂ M. Abdulrahman
90'
Form
Al-Ahli
WWWWD
Al-Hazem
LDWLD
Match facts
Stadium
Alinma Stadium
City
Jeddah
Referee
Mohammed Khled Hoish
Kickoff
05 Feb, 17:30 UTC
Al-Ahli
4-2-3-1
16
E. Mendy
7.1
29
M. Abdulrahman
7.2
46
R. Hamed
7.5
3
R. Ibañez
7.6
32
M. Dams
6.6
30
Z. Aljohani
7.3
79
F. Kessié
6.5
7
R. Mahrez
7.1
20
M. Gonçalves
6.8
13
W. Galeno
8.2
17
I. Toney
⚽1
6.6
Substitutes
2
Z. Hawsawi
6.7
9
F. Al-Buraikan
6.3
47
S. Aboulshamat
7.0
14
E. A. Muwallad
6.5
60
Y. Madani
62
A. Abdo
1
A. A. Sanbi
Al-Hazem
4-1-4-1
14
B. Varela
7.0
82
A. Al-Harbi
6.1
13
A. Al-Shanqiti
6.6
4
S. Tanker
6.5
27
A. Al-Nakhli
6.8
32
R. Loreintz
7.0
19
N. Al-Habashi
6.6
5
M. Al-Yami
6.4
24
A. Bah
6.8
10
F. Martins
6.0
9
O. Al-Somah
6.5
Substitutes
23
I. Zaied
8.1
2
S. A. Rashed
6.5
37
Y. Oumarou
6.6
7
Y. Al-Shammari
6.4
70
A. Al-Shamrani
6.6
15
A. Al-Khaibary
34
A. Al-Dakheel
26
A. Al-Dwehe
8
A. Al-Harajin
Coach: Matthias Jaissle
Coach: Jalel Kadri
53%Possession47%
2.34Expected goals (xG)0.27
17Total shots7
9Shots on target1
4Big chances0
13Corners2
13Fouls7
3Yellow cards1