Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 58%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 89% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 65%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 32%
Timeline
S. Al-Amri
27'
M. O. Kanabah
31'
🔁P. Fernandes ◂ B. Schenkeveld
42'
🔁J. King ◂ H. A. A. Issa
46'
S. A. Rashed
49'
⚽N. Al-Habashi
assist A. Bah
assist A. Bah
54'
⚽K. Fortounis (pen)
60'
🔁A. Saâyoud ◂ E. Mokwana
68'
🔁O. Al-Somah ◂ Y. Al-Shammari
68'
🔁H. Al-Jayzani ◂ S. Al-Amri
71'
🔁M. Hamzi ◂ M. O. Kanabah
71'
⚽G. Masouras
assist B. A. Mutairi
assist B. A. Mutairi
72'
🔁A. B. Dieng ◂ F. Martins
82'
🔁A. Al-Harbi ◂ S. A. Rashed
82'
A. Saâyoud
85'
H. Al-Jayzani
87'
🔁M. Al-Yami ◂ Y. Oumarou
90'
🔁A. Al-Salem ◂ B. A. Mutairi
90'
Coaches
Jalel Kadri 
Recent form
LAl-Ittihad1-0Al-Khaleej
LAl-Khaleej2-3Al-Kholood
LAl-Khaleej0-1Neom SC
DAl-Riyadh1-1Al-Khaleej
DAl-Taawoun1-1Al-Khaleej
WAl-Hazem3-1Al-Ettifaq
DAl-Hazem1-1Al-Ittihad
LAl-Nassr4-0Al-Hazem
WAl-Hazem2-1Al-Okhdood
LAl-Ahli2-0Al-Hazem
Match facts
Stadium
Al-Khaleej Club Stadium
City
Saihat
Referee
Abdullah Al-Harbi
Kickoff
06 Mar, 19:00 UTC
49
A. Moris
7.0
93
S. Al-Amri
6.3
4
B. Schenkeveld
6.8
17
A. Al-Hafith
7.0
3
M. Al-Khabrani
7.1
33
B. A. Mutairi
6.9
12
M. O. Kanabah
6.2
21
D. Kourbelis
7.6
20
H. A. A. Issa
6.7
9
G. Masouras
7.1
10
K. Fortounis
8.1
23
I. Zaied
6.9
2
S. A. Rashed
5.9
34
A. Al-Dakheel
6.5
3
A. Boutouil
6.5
70
A. Al-Shamrani
5.8
24
A. Bah
7.2
37
Y. Oumarou
6.6
17
E. Mokwana
6.2
10
F. Martins
6.3
19
N. Al-Habashi
8.0
7
Y. Al-Shammari
6.6
56%Possession44%
1.41Expected goals (xG)0.55
12Total shots10
4Shots on target4
2Big chances1
4Corners5
13Fouls16
3Yellow cards2