Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
M. Diaby
34'
Y. Al-Shammari
39'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁M. A. Ghamdi ◂ I. Zaied
46'
🔁Y. Oumarou ◂ M. Al-Yami
46'
A. Al-Dakheel
49'
🔁H. Aouar ◂ A. Al-Ghamdi
64'
🔁A. Alobud ◂ F. Al-Ghamdi
64'
🔁A. Al-Shanqiti ◂ A. Al-Dakheel
65'
⚽H. Aouar
66'
⚽A. Alobud
assist H. Aouar
assist H. Aouar
72'
🔁A. B. Dieng ◂ A. Bah
78'
🔁A. Al Bishi ◂ S. Bergwijn
78'
🔁A. Al-Dwehe ◂ E. Mokwana
88'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
🔁A. Al-Nashri ◂ Y. En-Nesyri
90'+2
Coaches
Sérgio ConceiçãoJalel Kadri 
Recent form
Al-IttihadLAl-Riyadh3-1Al-Ittihad
LAl-Ahli3-1Al-Ittihad
WAl-Ittihad1-0Al-Khaleej
DAl-Hazem1-1Al-Ittihad
DAl-Hilal1-1Al-Ittihad
Al-HazemWAl-Hazem2-1Al-Kholood
LAl-Khaleej2-1Al-Hazem
WAl-Hazem3-1Al-Ettifaq
DAl-Hazem1-1Al-Ittihad
LAl-Nassr4-0Al-Hazem
Match facts
Stadium
Alinma Stadium
City
Jeddah
Referee
Shukri Alhunfush
Kickoff
03 Apr, 16:15 UTC
Al-Ittihad
4-4-1-1 · 4-3-3
Al-Hazem
1
P. Rajković
7.6
13
M. Shanqeeti
7.5
4
J. Simić
7.5
2
D. Pereira
7.5
15
H. Kadesh
7.2
19
M. Diaby
5.6
8
Fabinho
7.9
16
F. A. Ghamdi
7.0
27
A. Al-Ghamdi
7.3
34
S. Bergwijn
6.9
21
Y. En-Nesyri
6.9
23
I. Zaied
6.8
2
S. A. Rashed
6.6
4
S. Tanker
6.3
34
A. Al-Dakheel
6.9
27
A. Al-Nakhli
7.3
5
M. Al-Yami
6.4
32
R. Loreintz
7.2
24
A. Bah
6.7
17
E. Mokwana
6.3
7
Y. Al-Shammari
6.0
19
N. Al-Habashi
6.0
Substitutes
10H. Aouar6.924A. Alobud8.222A. Al-Bishi6.614A. Al-Nashri88O. A. Mermesh32A. Al-Jelidan41M. Fallatah50M. Al-Absi66M. A. Barnawi
Coach: Sérgio Conceição
54%Possession46%
1.51Expected goals (xG)1.22
12Total shots20
5Shots on target7
3Big chances1
5Corners9
8Fouls20
0Yellow cards2
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 55%
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 43%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 16% · Pick: Under 3.5 goals