Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 77%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 93% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 75%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 43%
Timeline
⚽D. M. Morales
37'
M. Falcón
45'
🔁F. Mura ◂ I. Fray
46'
🔁T. Allende ◂ Y. Bright
68'
🔁M. Choinière ◂ D. M. Morales
69'
⚽D. Bouanga
73'
T. Segovia
80'
D. Bouanga
80'
🔁L. Suárez ◂ M. Silvetti
81'
🔁T. Boyd ◂ T. Tillman
82'
🔁N. Ordaz ◂ H. M. Son
89'
⚽N. Ordaz
90'
Coaches
Guillermo Angel Hoyos 
Recent form
WLos Angeles FC1-0Orange County SC
DVancouver Whitecaps2-2Los Angeles FC
WAustin FC1-4Los Angeles FC
WLos Angeles FC2-1Austin FC
DColorado Rapids2-2Los Angeles FC
WInter Miami CF3-1Vancouver Whitecaps
WInter Miami CF5-1New York City FC
WFC Cincinnati0-4Inter Miami CF
WInter Miami CF4-0Nashville SC
LNashville SC2-1Inter Miami CF
Match facts
Stadium
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
City
Los Angeles
Referee
Pierre-Luc Lauziere
Kickoff
22 Feb, 02:30 UTC
32%Possession68%
3.26Expected goals (xG)0.85
15Total shots12
6Shots on target3
6Big chances1
4Corners3
14Fouls15
1Yellow cards2