Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 80% · Pick: BTTS Yes
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 96% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 81% · Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Timeline
J. McGlynn
21'
D. Bouanga
35'
A. Carlos
45'
🔁A. Resch ◂ O. Lingr
46'
M. Delgado
51'
⚽M. Delgado
56'
R. Porteous
63'
🔁A. Boudri ◂ D. M. Morales
69'
A. Bouzat
76'
🔁H. Herrera ◂ D. Holmes
76'
⚽S. Eustaquio
82'
🔁N. Markanich ◂ Guilherme
85'
🔁D. Samassékou ◂ E. Sviatchenko
85'
🔁M. Choinière ◂ M. Delgado
85'
🔁R. Hollingshead ◂ S. Palencia
85'
🔁T. Boyd ◂ T. Tillman
88'
🔁M. Arana ◂ J. McGlynn
88'
🔁K. Nielsen ◂ R. Porteous
89'
Coaches
Ben OlsenMarc Dos Santos 
Recent form
Houston DynamoWHouston Dynamo2-1Chicago Fire
LSan Antonio FC5-2Houston Dynamo
WHouston Dynamo4-2Louisville City FC
DSporting Kansas City0-0Houston Dynamo
LHouston Dynamo2-4San Diego FC
Los Angeles FCWLos Angeles FC3-0Inter Miami CF
WLos Angeles FC1-0Orange County SC
DVancouver Whitecaps2-2Los Angeles FC
WAustin FC1-4Los Angeles FC
WLos Angeles FC2-1Austin FC
Match facts
Stadium
Shell Energy Stadium
City
Houston
Referee
Jon Freemon
Kickoff
01 Mar, 01:30 UTC
Houston Dynamo
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Los Angeles FC
31
J. Bond
6.6
28
E. Sviatchenko
6.2
3
A. Carlos
6.0
5
L. Halter
7.2
14
D. Holmes
6.7
8
J. McGlynn
7.2
30
A. Bouzat
6.3
11
L. Ennali
6.7
19
M. Bogusz
7.1
9
O. Lingr
6.8
20
Guilherme
6.4
1
H. Lloris
7.3
14
S. Palencia
7.2
5
R. Porteous
7.3
91
N. Tafari
7.6
4
E. Segura
7.7
46
S. Eustaquio
7.9
8
M. Delgado
8.7
30
D. M. Morales
6.7
11
T. Tillman
6.5
99
D. Bouanga
6.0
7
H. M. Son
6.7
Substitutes
34A. Resch6.216H. Herrera6.417N. Markanich6.518D. Samassékou7.022M. Arana6.526B. Gillingham1J. Maurer
Coach: Ben Olsen
Substitutes
65A. Boudri6.766M. Choinière6.624R. Hollingshead6.619T. Boyd6.345K. Nielsen7.027N. Ordaz29A. Smoliakov12T. Hasal21R. Raposo
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
29%Possession71%
0.69Expected goals (xG)1.83
12Total shots18
3Shots on target6
1Big chances3
4Corners8
6Fouls14
1Yellow cards3