Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
10'
H. M. Son
45'
S. Moore
55'
⚽
D. M. Morales · assist S. Eustaquio1–0
59'
Ramiro
73'
🔁
Kaick ◂ J. Valiente
73'
🔁
R. Louis ◂ L. Farrington
73'
🔁
A. Boudri ◂ T. Tillman
78'
🔁
P. Delgado ◂ Ramiro
80'
🔁
T. Boyd ◂ D. M. Morales
82'
T. Boyd
89'
🔁
M. Choinière ◂ D. Bouanga
89'
🔁
R. Binyamin ◂ C. Cappis
90'
🔁
L. D. Deedson ◂ O. Urhoghide
Coaches
Marc Dos SantosEric Quill 
Recent form
Los Angeles FCWHouston Dynamo0-2Los Angeles FC
WLos Angeles FC3-0Inter Miami CF
WLos Angeles FC1-0Orange County SC
DVancouver Whitecaps2-2Los Angeles FC
WAustin FC1-4Los Angeles FC
FC DallasDFC Dallas0-0Nashville SC
WFC Dallas3-2Toronto FC
DFC Dallas1-1Vancouver Whitecaps
LVancouver Whitecaps3-0FC Dallas
WVancouver Whitecaps1-2FC Dallas
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Stadium
City
Los Angeles
Referee
Drew Fischer
Kickoff
08 Mar, 03:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Los Angeles FC
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
FC Dallas
1
H. Lloris
7.6
14
S. Palencia
6.5
5
R. Porteous
7.5
91
N. Tafari
7.1
4
E. Segura
7.4
46
S. Eustaquio
7.2
8
M. Delgado
7.1
30
D. M. Morales
8.3
11
T. Tillman
6.9
99
D. Bouanga
6.7
7
H. M. Son
6.6
30
M. Collodi
7.8
18
S. Moore
6.4
3
O. Urhoghide
6.5
25
S. Ibeagha
6.9
77
B. Kamungo
7.0
17
Ramiro
7.2
12
C. Cappis
6.6
14
H. Johansson
7.1
21
J. Valiente
6.4
23
L. Farrington
6.6
9
P. Musa
6.6
Substitutes
65A. Boudri6.419T. Boyd6.666M. Choinière6.629A. Smoliakov45K. Nielsen27N. Ordaz21R. Raposo24R. Hollingshead12T. Hasal
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
Substitutes
15R. Louis6.455Kaick7.28P. Delgado6.76R. Binyamin6.77L. D. Deedson6.45L. Abubakar32N. Norris98E. Dymora28S. Sarver
Coach: Eric Quill
61%Possession39%
0.93Expected goals (xG)1.2
8Total shots15
5Shots on target5
1Big chances2
4Corners7
13Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 83% · Pick: BTTS Yes
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 91% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 37%