Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 78% · Pick: BTTS Yes
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 91% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 69%
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 37%
Timeline
🔁T. Boyd ◂ D. M. Morales
46'
🔁T. Tillman ◂ M. Delgado
46'
🔁S. Córdova ◂ C. Teuchert
46'
🔁A. Boudri ◂ H. M. Son
71'
⚽M. Choinière
73'
🔁B. McSorley ◂ S. Becher
77'
⚽M. Choinière
81'
🔁S. Jeong ◂ R. Santos
82'
🔁C. Pompeu ◂ D. Edelman
82'
🔁J. Terry ◂ D. Bouanga
86'
🔁R. Hollingshead ◂ R. Raposo
88'
🔁M. Joyner ◂ C. Wallem
90'
Form
Los Angeles FC
DWWWW
St.Louis City
WDDLL
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Stadium
City
Los Angeles
Referee
Rosendo Mendoza
Kickoff
15 Mar, 02:30 UTC
Los Angeles FC
4-2-3-1
1
H. Lloris
7.3
21
R. Raposo
6.9
5
R. Porteous
7.9
91
N. Tafari
6.9
4
E. Segura
7.2
66
M. Choinière
⚽2
9.4
8
M. Delgado
7.3
30
D. M. Morales
6.2
7
H. M. Son
7.1
99
D. Bouanga
6.6
27
N. Ordaz
6.2
Substitutes
19
T. Boyd
7.0
11
T. Tillman
7.1
65
A. Boudri
6.6
22
J. Terry
6.6
24
R. Hollingshead
7.0
29
A. Smoliakov
12
T. Hasal
45
K. Nielsen
14
S. Palencia
St.Louis City
3-4-2-1
1
R. Bürki
6.7
99
J. Orozco
6.4
32
T. Baumgartl
6.8
21
D. Polvara
6.6
6
C. Wallem
6.3
24
D. Edelman
6.7
8
C. Durkin
7.1
20
R. Santos
6.3
17
M. Hartel
7.5
36
C. Teuchert
6.3
11
S. Becher
6.4
Substitutes
16
S. Córdova
6.4
80
B. McSorley
6.3
77
S. Jeong
6.4
12
C. Pompeu
6.7
59
M. Joyner
28
M. Perez
4
M. Mbacke
39
B. Lundt
5
L. MacNaughton
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
Coach: Yoann Damet
45%Possession55%
0.82Expected goals (xG)1.15
16Total shots18
5Shots on target4
2Big chances2
5Corners9
12Fouls9