Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match prediction BSD model
Both Teams to Score
BTTS Yes 77%
Total Goals 1.5
Over 1.5 goals 96% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5
Over 2.5 goals 83% · Pick: Over 2.5 goals
Total Goals 3.5
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Timeline
T. Tillman
26'
E. Segura
41'
J. Bell
45'
M. Uzuni
65'
🔁Guilherme Biro ◂ J. Bell
69'
🔁B. Sabović ◂ I. Sánchez
70'
🔁A. Boudri ◂ D. M. Morales
73'
🔁T. Boyd ◂ T. Tillman
73'
🔁R. Hollingshead ◂ S. Palencia
78'
🔁M. Desler ◂ J. Gallagher
78'
🔁C. Fodrey ◂ C. Ramirez
78'
M. Desler
84'
🔁Ž. Kolmanič ◂ N. Dubersarsky
87'
Coaches
Davy ArnaudMarc Dos Santos 
Recent form
Austin FCLReal Salt Lake2-1Austin FC
LCharlotte FC3-1Austin FC
WAustin FC1-0DC United
DAustin FC2-2Minnesota United
LAustin FC1-4Los Angeles FC
Los Angeles FCWLos Angeles FC2-0St.Louis City
WLos Angeles FC1-0FC Dallas
WHouston Dynamo0-2Los Angeles FC
WLos Angeles FC3-0Inter Miami CF
WLos Angeles FC1-0Orange County SC
Match facts
Stadium
Q2 Stadium
City
Austin
Referee
Rubiel Vazquez
Kickoff
22 Mar, 00:45 UTC
Austin FC
4-4-2 · 4-3-3
Los Angeles FC
1
B. Stuver
6.7
17
J. Gallagher
6.7
5
O. Svatok
7.0
4
B. Hines-Ike
7.8
15
J. Bell
6.8
11
F. Torres
7.7
20
N. Dubersarsky
7.3
6
I. Sánchez
7.0
30
J. Rosales
7.1
21
C. Ramirez
6.1
10
M. Uzuni
7.1
1
H. Lloris
6.7
14
S. Palencia
6.7
5
R. Porteous
7.4
91
N. Tafari
7.5
4
E. Segura
6.5
66
M. Choinière
7.3
11
T. Tillman
7.2
8
M. Delgado
7.6
30
D. M. Morales
6.9
7
H. M. Son
6.6
99
D. Bouanga
5.8
Substitutes
29Guilherme Biro6.914B. Sabović6.719C. Fodrey6.63M. Desler6.823Ž. Kolmanič6.735M. Đorđević38E. Torres24J. Alastuey12D. Las
Coach: Davy Arnaud
Substitutes
65A. Boudri6.719T. Boyd6.824R. Hollingshead6.745K. Nielsen29A. Smoliakov22J. Terry12T. Hasal21R. Raposo27N. Ordaz
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
62%Possession38%
0.98Expected goals (xG)1.35
10Total shots12
1Shots on target1
1Big chances2
5Corners4
11Fouls7
3Yellow cards2