Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
7'
⚽
D. Brekalo1–0
20'
⚽
D. Bouanga · assist S. Heung-min2–0
21'
E. Atuesta
23'
⚽
D. Bouanga · assist S. Heung-min3–0
26'
D. Bouanga
28'
⚽
D. Bouanga · assist S. Heung-min4–0
39'
⚽
S. Palencia · assist S. Heung-min5–0
45'
⚽
5–0
45'
⚽
46'
🔁
M. Choinière ◂ T. Tillman
46'
🔁
Z. Taifi ◂ C. Guske
46'
🔁
D. McGuire ◂ T. Souza
46'
🔁
T. Reid-Brown ◂ N. Miller
58'
🔁
J. Shaffelburg ◂ D. Bouanga
58'
🔁
D. M. Morales ◂ S. Heung-min
66'
D. McGuire
68'
🔁
L. Otávio ◂ E. Atuesta
70'
⚽
T. Boyd · assist J. Shaffelburg6–0
71'
🔁
R. Raposo ◂ S. Palencia
73'
🔁
J. Ebobisse ◂ T. Boyd
79'
D. M. Morales
84'
I. Angulo
86'
🔁
Y. Tsukada ◂ I. Angulo
90'
⚽
6–0
90'
⚽
Coaches
Marc Dos SantosMartín Perelman 
Recent form
Los Angeles FCDAustin FC0-0Los Angeles FC
WLos Angeles FC2-0St.Louis City
WLos Angeles FC1-0FC Dallas
WHouston Dynamo0-2Los Angeles FC
WLos Angeles FC3-0Inter Miami CF
Orlando City SCLNashville SC5-0Orlando City SC
WOrlando City SC2-1CF Montréal
LNew York City FC5-0Orlando City SC
LOrlando City SC2-4Inter Miami CF
LOrlando City SC1-2New York Red Bulls
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Stadium
City
Los Angeles
Referee
Alexis Da Silva
Kickoff
05 Apr, 01:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Los Angeles FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Orlando City SC
1
H. Lloris
7.9
14
S. Palencia
8.0
5
R. Porteous
7.4
91
N. Tafari
7.0
24
R. Hollingshead
7.5
11
T. Tillman
7.1
8
M. Delgado
7.9
19
T. Boyd
8.0
27
N. Ordaz
6.2
99
D. Bouanga
10.0
7
H. M. Son
9.4
71
M. Crépeau
6.2
8
B. Ojeda
5.5
4
D. Brekalo
6.3
21
N. Miller
5.6
57
Iago
5.0
25
C. Guske
6.3
20
E. Atuesta
6.3
87
M. Pašalić
6.0
10
M. Ojeda
5.8
77
I. Angulo
6.6
11
T. Souza
6.3
Substitutes
66M. Choinière6.618J. Shaffelburg6.930D. M. Morales6.521R. Raposo7.217J. Ebobisse6.765A. Boudri29A. Smoliakov12T. Hasal4E. Segura
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
Substitutes
29T. Reid-Brown6.319Z. Taifi6.313D. McGuire6.15L. Otávio6.634Y. Tsukada6.522J. Ellis12J. Otero23H. Sarajian3A. Marín
Coach: Martín Perelman
44%Possession56%
2.65Expected goals (xG)0.72
17Total shots12
8Shots on target6
5Big chances1
8Corners7
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards3
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 35%
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 94% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 47%