Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
25'
⚽
J. McGlynn · assist L. Ennali0–1
27'
Guilherme
34'
⚽
Guilherme0–2
43'
🔁
R. Raposo ◂ S. Palencia
45'
⚽
1–2
45'
⚽
N. Ordaz · assist J. Shaffelburg1–2
45'
⚽
45'+4
J. McGlynn
51'
⚽
M. Bogusz1–3
55'
⚽
J. McGlynn · assist L. Ennali1–4
59'
🔁
M. Choinière ◂ M. Delgado
59'
🔁
T. Boyd ◂ J. Shaffelburg
59'
🔁
T. Tillman ◂ S. Eustaquio
76'
🔁
A. Bouzat ◂ J. McGlynn
79'
D. M. Morales
79'
🔁
J. Ebobisse ◂ N. Ordaz
82'
🔁
H. Herrera ◂ D. Samassékou
86'
T. Boyd
87'
🔁
D. Holmes ◂ M. Bogusz
87'
🔁
O. Lingr ◂ E. Ponce
87'
🔁
I. Aliyu ◂ Guilherme
88'
F. Andrade
90'
⚽
1–4
90'
⚽
90'+3
R. Raposo
90'+4
N. Tafari
Coaches
Marc Dos SantosBen Olsen 
Recent form
Los Angeles FCDSan Diego FC2-2Los Angeles FC
WMinnesota United0-1Los Angeles FC
DLos Angeles FC0-0Colorado Rapids
LLos Angeles FC1-4San Jose Earthquakes
LPortland Timbers2-1Los Angeles FC
Houston DynamoWHouston Dynamo1-0Colorado Rapids
LAustin FC2-0Houston Dynamo
WHouston Dynamo1-0San Diego FC
WOrlando City SC0-1Houston Dynamo
LColorado Rapids6-2Houston Dynamo
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
BMO Stadium
City
Los Angeles
Referee
Drew Fischer
Kickoff
11 May, 01:00 UTC
Competition
MLS
Los Angeles FC
4-2-3-1 · 4-5-1
Houston Dynamo
1
H. Lloris
6.2
14
S. Palencia
6.1
5
R. Porteous
6.5
91
N. Tafari
6.6
4
E. Segura
6.1
46
S. Eustaquio
6.7
8
M. Delgado
6.9
30
D. M. Morales
6.7
7
S. Heung-min
7.0
18
J. Shaffelburg
6.5
27
N. Ordaz
7.1
31
J. Bond
6.8
36
F. Andrade
6.7
3
A. Carlos
7.1
34
A. Resch
6.9
11
L. Ennali
7.4
19
M. Bogusz
6.5
8
J. McGlynn
8.8
6
Artur
6.2
18
D. Samassékou
6.7
20
Guilherme
8.5
10
E. Ponce
6.3
Substitutes
21R. Raposo7.019T. Boyd6.466M. Choinière7.311T. Tillman7.217J. Ebobisse6.412T. Hasal24R. Hollingshead29A. Smoliakov33A. Long
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
67%Possession33%
0.89Expected goals (xG)0.87
19Total shots12
6Shots on target6
2Big chances0
10Corners3
11Fouls12
3Yellow cards3
Model prediction BSD ML
Both Teams to ScoreBTTS Yes 42%
Total Goals 1.5Over 1.5 goals 80% · Pick: Over 1.5 goals
Total Goals 2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%
Total Goals 3.5Over 3.5 goals 36%